WallStSmart

Alcoa Corp (AA)vsUSA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Alcoa Corp generates 108637% more annual revenue ($14.31B vs $13.16M). AA leads profitability with a 10.7% profit margin vs 0.0%. AA earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 78/100 (B+).

AA

Strong Buy

78

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.0Value: 4.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.52

USAR

Avoid

28

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 4.3Profit: 2.5Value: 5.0Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.02
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AASignificantly Overvalued (-39.9%)

Margin of Safety

-39.9%

Fair Value

$28.52

Current Price

$39.54

$11.02 premium

UndervaluedFair: $28.52Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for USAR.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AA4 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
7.0x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.3x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
105.7%10/10

Earnings expanding 105.7% YoY

Revenue GrowthGrowth
23.7%8/10

Revenue surging 23.7% year-over-year

USAR2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
0.8x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Debt/EquityHealth
0.0110/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Areas to Watch

AA2 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.524/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

PEG RatioValuation
8.362/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

USAR4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% revenue growth

EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Profit MarginProfitability
0.0%3/10

0.0% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AA

The strongest argument for AA centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 23.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : USAR

The strongest argument for USAR centers on Price/Book, Debt/Equity.

Bear Case : AA

The primary concerns for AA are Altman Z-Score, PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : USAR

The primary concerns for USAR are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Profit Margin.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AA profiles as a growth stock while USAR is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

USAR carries more volatility with a beta of 2.68 — expect wider price swings.

AA is growing revenue faster at 23.7% — sustainability is the question.

AA generates stronger free cash flow (472M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AA scores higher overall (78/100 vs 28/100) and 23.7% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Alcoa Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA

Alcoa Corporation produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

USA Rare Earth, Inc.

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

USA Rare Earth, Inc. engages in mining, processing, and supplying rare earths and other critical minerals. The company is headquartered in Stillwater, Oklahoma.

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