WallStSmart

Century Aluminum Company (CENX)vsUSA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

CENX leads profitability with a 1.6% profit margin vs 0.0%. CENX earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 41/100 (D).

CENX

Hold

41

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 4.7Profit: 5.0Value: 4.7Quality: 5.0

USAR

Avoid

22

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 4.3Profit: 3.0Value: 5.0Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: -1.49
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CENXSignificantly Overvalued (-1768.5%)

Margin of Safety

-1768.5%

Fair Value

$2.86

Current Price

$50.19

$47.33 premium

UndervaluedFair: $2.86Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for USAR.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CENX2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.0610/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Revenue GrowthGrowth
40.0%10/10

Revenue surging 40.0% year-over-year

USAR0 strengths · Avg: 0/10

No standout strengths identified

Areas to Watch

CENX4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Return on EquityProfitability
1.6%3/10

ROE of 1.6% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
1.6%3/10

1.6% margin — thin

P/E RatioValuation
119.5x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

EPS GrowthGrowth
-95.1%2/10

Earnings declined 95.1%

USAR4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% revenue growth

EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Profit MarginProfitability
0.0%3/10

0.0% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
0.0%3/10

Operating margin of 0.0%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CENX

The strongest argument for CENX centers on PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 40.0% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : USAR

USAR has a balanced fundamental profile.

Bear Case : CENX

The primary concerns for CENX are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 119.5x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 1.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : USAR

The primary concerns for USAR are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Profit Margin.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CENX profiles as a hypergrowth stock while USAR is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

CENX carries more volatility with a beta of 2.12 — expect wider price swings.

CENX is growing revenue faster at 40.0% — sustainability is the question.

CENX generates stronger free cash flow (68M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CENX scores higher overall (41/100 vs 22/100) and 40.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Hold" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Century Aluminum Company

BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA

Century Aluminum Company produces standard quality and value-added primary aluminum products in the United States and Iceland. The company is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

USA Rare Earth, Inc.

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

USA Rare Earth, Inc. engages in mining, processing, and supplying rare earths and other critical minerals. The company is headquartered in Stillwater, Oklahoma.

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