WallStSmart

Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Penske Automotive Group Inc stock (PAG) is currently trading at $140.60. Penske Automotive Group Inc PE ratio is 10.22. Penske Automotive Group Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.29. Analyst consensus price target for PAG is $181.11. WallStSmart rates PAG as Underperform.

  • PAG PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • PAG PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • PAG intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • PAG stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • PAG fair value vs current price
  • PAG insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is PAG undervalued or overvalued?
  • Penske Automotive Group Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • PAG Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • PAG analyst price target and Smart Rating
PAG

Penske Automotive Group Inc

NYSECONSUMER CYCLICAL
$140.60
$3.71 (-2.57%)
52W$129.79
$186.25
Target$181.11+28.8%

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IV

PAG Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG)

Margin of Safety
-85.1%
Significantly Overvalued
PAG Fair Value
$93.57
Graham Formula
Current Price
$140.60
$47.03 above fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $93.57
Overvalued
Price $140.60
Graham IV $93.57
Analyst $181.11

PAG trades 85% above its Graham fair value of $93.57, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

51
out of 100
Grade: C-
Buy
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in price/sales, price/book, institutional own.. Concerns around operating margin and revenue growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.

Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG) Key Strengths (5)

Avg Score: 8.4/10
Price/SalesValuation
0.2910/10

Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue

Institutional Own.Quality
78.80%10/10

78.80% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Price/BookValuation
1.718/10

Trading at 1.71x book value, attractively priced

Market CapQuality
$9.26B7/10

Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability

Return on EquityProfitability
17.10%7/10

Solid profitability: $17 profit per $100 equity

Supporting Valuation Data

P/E Ratio
10.22
Undervalued
Forward P/E
10.57
Attractive
Trailing P/E
10.22
Undervalued
Price/Sales (TTM)
0.291
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
0.571
Undervalued

Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG) Areas to Watch (5)

Avg Score: 1.8/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
-3.10%0/10

Revenue declining -3.10%, a shrinking business

EPS GrowthGrowth
-19.10%0/10

Earnings declining -19.10%, profits shrinking

Operating MarginProfitability
3.35%1/10

Near-zero operating margins, business under pressure

Profit MarginProfitability
2.94%2/10

Very thin margins, barely profitable

PEG RatioValuation
1.606/10

Growth is fairly priced, not cheap, not expensive

Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 51/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 5 register as strengths (avg 8.4/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 1.8/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, Institutional Own., Price/Book. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.29), Price/Book (1.71) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 17.10%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Operating Margin. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.60) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -3.10%, EPS Growth at -19.10%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 3.35%, Profit Margin at 2.94%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 17.10% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -3.10% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. Strengths and concerns are roughly balanced. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Price/Sales, Institutional Own.) and negatives (Revenue Growth, EPS Growth). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

Compare PAG with Competitors

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG) · CONSUMER CYCLICALAUTO & TRUCK DEALERSHIPS

The Big Picture

Penske Automotive Group Inc faces headwinds with declining revenue, though profitability provides a cushion. Revenue reached 31.8B with 310% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 294.0%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.

Key Findings

Excellent Capital Efficiency

ROE of 1710.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.

Strong Profitability

Profit margin of 294.0% and operating margin of 335.0% demonstrate strong pricing power and operational efficiency.

Revenue Decline

Revenue contracted 310% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.

Negative Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow is -34M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.

What to Watch Next

Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 3.7%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.

Debt management: total debt of 8.7B is significantly higher than cash (65M). Monitor refinancing risk.

Sector dynamics: monitor AUTO & TRUCK DEALERSHIPS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Penske Automotive Group Inc.

Bottom Line

Penske Automotive Group Inc faces challenges with declining revenue. While profitability provides a buffer, the long-term trajectory needs to improve. Watch for management's strategic response and whether the company can stabilize or pivot to new growth drivers.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions(17 last 3 months)

Total Buys
17
Total Sells
0

Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings

Last updated: 12:41:56 PM

About Penske Automotive Group Inc(PAG)

Exchange

NYSE

Sector

CONSUMER CYCLICAL

Industry

AUTO & TRUCK DEALERSHIPS

Country

USA

Penske Automotive Group, Inc., a diversified transportation services company, operates commercial and automotive truck dealerships. The company is headquartered in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan.

Visit Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG) Website
2555 TELEGRAPH ROAD, BLOOMFIELD HILLS, MI, UNITED STATES, 48302-0954