Midland States Bancorp, Inc.
NASDAQ: MSBI · FINANCIAL SERVICES · BANKS - REGIONAL
Updated 2026-10-28
Midland States Bancorp, Inc. (MSBI) Stock Valuation Analysis
Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for MSBI.
Valued
Fundamentals support the current valuation. Strong combination of growth, quality, and price.
MSBI historical valuation range
Where current P/E sits in MSBI's own 5Y range.
MSBI intrinsic value (DCF)
DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.
Standard discounted cash flow models produce unreliable output for unprofitable or near-breakeven companies. Revenue-based multiples such as P/S and EV/Sales, combined with the historical valuation position above, give a more reliable read for this stock.
Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.
MSBI valuation signals
Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.
P/E Ratio — History
Current: 14.53x
P/S Ratio — History
Current: 2.23x
Is MSBI overvalued in 2026?
Midland States Bancorp, Inc. (MSBI) currently trades at $34.25 per share with a market capitalization of $684,405,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock looks attractively valued with a Smart Value Score of 80/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.
The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 14.5x, below its 5-year median of 20.8x. The PEG ratio of 1.41 points to a price that reasonably reflects expected earnings growth.
Looking at its own history, MSBI is currently trading cheaper than 57% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 43th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.
A standard DCF model does not produce reliable output for MSBI under current conditions. For unprofitable or near-breakeven companies, revenue-based multiples such as EV/Sales and historical P/S percentile are more informative than intrinsic value calculations.
The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.
Bottom line: MSBI looks attractively valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 80/100. The combination of reasonable price, healthy growth, and quality fundamentals makes it worth serious consideration.
Frequently asked questions
Is MSBI overvalued?
MSBI scores 80/100 on our Smart Value Score (Grade A), a strong overall profile. A standard DCF is unreliable here given the profitability profile, so valuation leans on revenue-based measures like EV/Sales and the P/S percentile below.
What is MSBI's fair value?
A standard DCF is unreliable for MSBI given its current profitability profile. Revenue-based approaches like EV/Sales or the historical P/S percentile are more informative for this stock.
What P/E ratio does MSBI trade at?
MSBI trades at a P/E of 14.5x on trailing twelve-month earnings, against a 5-year median of 20.8x. P/E is what you pay per dollar of profit, and sitting below its own median means the stock is cheaper than usual relative to its earnings.
Is MSBI a buy based on valuation?
Our Smart Value rating for MSBI is Strong Buy, from a Smart Value Score of 80/100 that blends growth, quality, and valuation. The rating leans on growth and financial strength, and valuation is usually the weakest leg for a name scoring this high. This is research to inform your decision, not personalized financial advice.
How does MSBI's valuation compare to its history?
On P/E, MSBI sits in the 43rd percentile of its own 5Y range, below its long-run median relative to where it has traded. A low percentile means today's multiple is near the bottom of its historical band.
What is MSBI's Smart Value Score?
MSBI's Smart Value Score is 80/100. It is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation into a single 0-100 read, and scores above 75 are rare, signaling strong multi-factor alignment.