WallStSmart
MAX

MediaAlpha Inc.

NYSE: MAX · COMMUNICATION SERVICES · INTERNET CONTENT & INFORMATION

$8.51
-14.90% today

Updated 2026-04-30

Market cap
$544.52M
P/E ratio
25.31
P/S ratio
0.49x
EPS (TTM)
$0.39
Dividend yield
52W range
$7 – $14
Volume
0.8M

MediaAlpha Inc. (MAX) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for MAX.

WallStSmart Verdict
Overvalued

Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.

Smart Value Score: 40 / 100
P/E (TTM)
25.3x
vs 5Y median of 25.8x
PEG
Margin of Safety
+72.53%
Fair value $27.92 vs $8.51
EV / EBITDA
40.0x

MAX historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in MAX's own 5Y range.

NOW
23.2x
5Y Low
24.9x
25th
25.8x
Median
33.2x
75th
106.5x
5Y High
MAX is trading cheaper than 56% of the last 5Y.
44th percentile · Below median

MAX intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$8.51
Market value
Intrinsic value
$27.92
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
+72.53%
+228.1% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

MAX valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

!
P/E in mid-range
P/E sits at the 44th percentile of the 5Y range. Neither cheap nor rich historically.
Strong margin of safety
Current price 72.5% below DCF intrinsic value estimate. Meaningful downside cushion.
Weak financial quality
Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 suggests deteriorating fundamentals. Valuation requires closer scrutiny.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 25.31x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 0.49x

Is MAX overvalued in 2026?

MediaAlpha Inc. (MAX) currently trades at $8.51 per share with a market capitalization of $544,524,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 40/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 25.3x, below its 5-year median of 25.8x.

Looking at its own history, MAX is currently trading cheaper than 56% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 44th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates MAX's intrinsic value at $27.92 per share, against the current market price of $8.51. This implies a margin of safety of +72.53%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.

Financial quality is a concern. The Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weakening fundamentals that deserve closer scrutiny before the valuation case can be fully trusted.

Bottom line: MAX appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 40/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.

Frequently asked questions

Is MAX overvalued in 2026?

Based on a Smart Value Score of 40/100, MAX appears overvalued. Current price exceeds what fundamentals currently justify.

What is MAX's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates MAX's intrinsic value at $27.92 per share, versus the current price of $8.51. This produces a margin of safety of +72.53%.

What P/E ratio does MAX trade at?

MAX trades at a P/E of 25.3x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 25.8x.

Is MAX a buy based on valuation?

WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 40/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile skews cautious. Consider waiting for a better price or clearer operational improvement.

How does MAX's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, MAX currently sits in the 44th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is below its long-run median relative to where it has traded over the period.

What is MAX's Smart Value Score?

MAX's Smart Value Score is 40/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.