Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc stock (HGV) is currently trading at $40.66. Hilton Grand Vacations Inc PE ratio is 46.60. Hilton Grand Vacations Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.75. Analyst consensus price target for HGV is $54.70. WallStSmart rates HGV as Hold.
- HGV PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- HGV PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- HGV intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- HGV stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- HGV fair value vs current price
- HGV insider transactions and insider buying
- Is HGV undervalued or overvalued?
- Hilton Grand Vacations Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- HGV Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- HGV analyst price target and Smart Rating
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc
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HGV Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV)
HGV trades 11% above its Graham fair value of $41.65, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV) · 9 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in price/sales, eps growth, institutional own.. Concerns around return on equity and revenue growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV) Key Strengths (4)
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
Earnings per share surging 187.20% year-over-year
111.49% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability
Supporting Valuation Data
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV) Areas to Watch (5)
Revenue growing slowly at 3.70% annually
Very thin margins, barely profitable
Low profitability relative to shareholder equity
Decent operational efficiency, solid but not exceptional
Fairly priced relative to book value
Supporting Valuation Data
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 56/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C grade. Out of 9 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 9.3/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 3.8/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, EPS Growth, Institutional Own.. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.75) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Growth metrics are encouraging with EPS Growth at 187.20%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, Profit Margin, Return on Equity. Some valuation metrics including Price/Book (2.61) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 3.70%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 5.94%, Operating Margin at 15.80%, Profit Margin at 1.80%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 5.94% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 3.70% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Price/Sales, EPS Growth) and negatives (Revenue Growth, Profit Margin). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
HGV Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
HGV's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.75x sits near its historical average of 0.81x (0th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 15% below its historical high of 0.88x set in Mar 2026, and 0% above its historical low of 0.75x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~0.9x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV) · CONSUMER CYCLICAL › RESORTS & CASINOS
The Big Picture
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 4.5B with 4% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 1.8%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
Generating 147M in free cash flow and 167M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
Debt-to-equity ratio of 5.26 is elevated. High leverage amplifies both gains and losses and increases financial risk.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Hilton Grand Vacations Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Debt management: total debt of 7.3B is significantly higher than cash (215M). Monitor refinancing risk.
Sector dynamics: monitor RESORTS & CASINOS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.
Bottom Line
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(43 last 3 months)
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 11:38:17 AM
About Hilton Grand Vacations Inc(HGV)
NYSE
CONSUMER CYCLICAL
RESORTS & CASINOS
USA
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc., a timeshare company, develops, markets, sells and manages vacation-owned resorts primarily under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand. The company is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.