Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)vsVistra Corp. (VST)
UNP
Union Pacific Corporation
$264.65
-0.09%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $157.27B
VST
Vistra Corp.
$147.72
-4.05%
UTILITIES · Cap: $52.12B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Union Pacific Corporation generates 39% more annual revenue ($24.70B vs $17.74B). UNP leads profitability with a 29.2% profit margin vs 5.3%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.38. UNP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C).
UNP
Buy60
out of 100
Grade: C
VST
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-75.9%
Fair Value
$150.49
Current Price
$264.65
$114.16 premium
Margin of Safety
-53.3%
Fair Value
$101.06
Current Price
$147.72
$46.66 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 40.4%
Large-cap with strong market position
Keeps 29 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Generating 1.5B in free cash flow
Large-cap with strong market position
Areas to Watch
Trading at 8.5x book value
3.2% revenue growth
Expensive relative to growth rate
Trading at 19.1x book value
5.3% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : UNP
The strongest argument for UNP centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 29.2% and operating margin at 40.4%.
Bull Case : VST
The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.38 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : UNP
The primary concerns for UNP are Price/Book, Revenue Growth, PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : VST
The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 70.6x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.45 — expect wider price swings.
VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.
UNP generates stronger free cash flow (1.5B), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor RAILROADS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
UNP scores higher overall (60/100 vs 53/100), backed by strong 29.2% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Union Pacific Corporation
INDUSTRIALS · RAILROADS · USA
The Union Pacific Corporation (Union Pacific) is a publicly traded railroad holding company. It was incorporated in Utah in 1969 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. It is the parent company of the current, Delaware-registered, form of the Union Pacific Railroad.
Vistra Corp.
UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA
Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.
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