WallStSmart

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP)vsUnion Pacific Corporation (UNP)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Union Pacific Corporation generates 64% more annual revenue ($25.41B vs $15.45B). UNP leads profitability with a 28.8% profit margin vs 25.0%. CP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.22. UNP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 66/100 (B-).

CP

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 5.3Profit: 8.0Value: 6.7Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.41

UNP

Strong Buy

66

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 4.7Profit: 9.5Value: 3.3Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.45
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CPUndervalued (+60.4%)

Margin of Safety

+60.4%

Fair Value

$211.78

Current Price

$85.07

$126.71 discount

UndervaluedFair: $211.78Overvalued
UNPSignificantly Overvalued (-89.0%)

Margin of Safety

-89.0%

Fair Value

$144.86

Current Price

$274.15

$129.29 premium

UndervaluedFair: $144.86Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CP4 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Operating MarginProfitability
39.0%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 39.0%

Market CapQuality
$77.61B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Profit MarginProfitability
25.0%9/10

Keeps 25 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Price/BookValuation
2.3x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

UNP5 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
Return on EquityProfitability
35.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 35 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
41.0%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 41.0%

Market CapQuality
$163.69B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Profit MarginProfitability
28.8%9/10

Keeps 29 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.20B8/10

Generating 2.2B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

CP4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.224/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
28.7x4/10

Moderate valuation

EPS GrowthGrowth
-13.5%2/10

Earnings declined 13.5%

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.412/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

UNP3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Price/BookValuation
8.4x4/10

Trading at 8.4x book value

Debt/EquityHealth
1.513/10

Elevated debt levels

PEG RatioValuation
2.722/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CP

The strongest argument for CP centers on Operating Margin, Market Cap, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 25.0% and operating margin at 39.0%. Revenue growth of 12.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : UNP

The strongest argument for UNP centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 28.8% and operating margin at 41.0%. Revenue growth of 11.5% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CP

The primary concerns for CP are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : UNP

The primary concerns for UNP are Price/Book, Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio. Debt-to-equity of 1.51 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.22 — expect wider price swings.

CP is growing revenue faster at 12.6% — sustainability is the question.

UNP generates stronger free cash flow (2.2B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor RAILROADS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

UNP scores higher overall (66/100 vs 60/100), backed by strong 28.8% margins and 11.5% revenue growth. CP offers better value entry with a 60.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited

INDUSTRIALS · RAILROADS · USA

Canadian Pacific Railway Limited, owns and operates a transcontinental freight railway in Canada and the United States. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Union Pacific Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · RAILROADS · USA

The Union Pacific Corporation (Union Pacific) is a publicly traded railroad holding company. It was incorporated in Utah in 1969 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. It is the parent company of the current, Delaware-registered, form of the Union Pacific Railroad.

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