WallStSmart

Canadian National Railway Company (CNI)vsVistra Corp. (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Corp. generates 3% more annual revenue ($17.74B vs $17.28B). CNI leads profitability with a 27.2% profit margin vs 5.3%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.38. CNI earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 62/100 (C+).

CNI

Buy

62

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 3.3Profit: 8.5Value: 4.7Quality: 4.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.48

VST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 3.3Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CNIUndervalued (+8.7%)

Margin of Safety

+8.7%

Fair Value

$116.41

Current Price

$111.64

$4.77 discount

UndervaluedFair: $116.41Overvalued
VSTSignificantly Overvalued (-53.3%)

Margin of Safety

-53.3%

Fair Value

$101.06

Current Price

$147.72

$46.66 premium

UndervaluedFair: $101.06Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CNI4 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
Operating MarginProfitability
38.4%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 38.4%

Market CapQuality
$67.24B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Return on EquityProfitability
21.8%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 22 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
27.2%9/10

Keeps 27 of every $100 in revenue as profit

VST1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$52.12B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

CNI4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
1.1%4/10

1.1% earnings growth

Debt/EquityHealth
1.013/10

Elevated debt levels

PEG RatioValuation
2.522/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-0.5%2/10

Revenue declined 0.5%

VST4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Price/BookValuation
19.1x4/10

Trading at 19.1x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
70.6x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CNI

The strongest argument for CNI centers on Operating Margin, Market Cap, Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 27.2% and operating margin at 38.4%.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.38 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : CNI

The primary concerns for CNI are EPS Growth, Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 70.6x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CNI profiles as a declining stock while VST is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.45 — expect wider price swings.

VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.

CNI generates stronger free cash flow (828M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CNI scores higher overall (62/100 vs 53/100), backed by strong 27.2% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Canadian National Railway Company

INDUSTRIALS · RAILROADS · USA

Canadian National Railway Company, is engaged in the rail and related transportation business. The company is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

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Vistra Corp.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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