WallStSmart

RXO Inc. (RXO)vsXPO Logistics Inc (XPO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

XPO Logistics Inc generates 45% more annual revenue ($8.30B vs $5.73B). XPO leads profitability with a 4.2% profit margin vs -1.8%. XPO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.53. XPO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).

RXO

Avoid

35

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 3.3Profit: 2.0Value: 3.0Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.22

XPO

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 6.7Profit: 6.0Value: 2.0Quality: 4.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.63
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

RXOSignificantly Overvalued (-42.7%)

Margin of Safety

-42.7%

Fair Value

$11.44

Current Price

$26.86

$15.42 premium

UndervaluedFair: $11.44Overvalued
XPOSignificantly Overvalued (-23.4%)

Margin of Safety

-23.4%

Fair Value

$163.60

Current Price

$218.94

$55.34 premium

UndervaluedFair: $163.60Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

RXO1 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
2.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

XPO1 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
46.6%8/10

Earnings expanding 46.6% YoY

Areas to Watch

RXO4 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
170.532/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
-7.0%2/10

ROE of -7.0% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-0.6%2/10

Revenue declined 0.6%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-93.2%2/10

Earnings declined 93.2%

XPO4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Price/BookValuation
13.8x4/10

Trading at 13.8x book value

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.634/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Profit MarginProfitability
4.2%3/10

4.2% margin — thin

PEG RatioValuation
2.532/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : RXO

The strongest argument for RXO centers on Price/Book.

Bull Case : XPO

The strongest argument for XPO centers on EPS Growth.

Bear Case : RXO

The primary concerns for RXO are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.

Bear Case : XPO

The primary concerns for XPO are Price/Book, Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin. A P/E of 78.7x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 2.18 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

RXO profiles as a turnaround stock while XPO is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

RXO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.85 — expect wider price swings.

XPO is growing revenue faster at 7.3% — sustainability is the question.

XPO generates stronger free cash flow (72M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

XPO scores higher overall (53/100 vs 35/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

RXO Inc.

INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA

RXO Inc. is a leading transportation and logistics provider focused on delivering innovative freight solutions across North America. By leveraging advanced technology and data analytics, the company optimizes supply chain operations to achieve efficient and cost-effective delivery for its diverse clientele. RXO's commitment to sustainability and continuous innovation not only enhances its operational capabilities but also positions it advantageously in the dynamic logistics landscape. With a broad network and strong strategic partnerships, RXO is well-equipped to meet evolving customer needs, making it an attractive prospect for institutional investors seeking growth in the logistics sector.

XPO Logistics Inc

INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA

XPO Logistics, Inc. provides supply chain solutions in the United States, the rest of North America, France, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut.

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