WallStSmart

PayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL)vsUpstart Holdings Inc (UPST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

PayPal Holdings Inc generates 2554% more annual revenue ($34.13B vs $1.29B). PYPL leads profitability with a 14.4% profit margin vs 4.7%. PYPL trades at a lower P/E of 10.1x. PYPL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 65/100 (C+).

PYPL

Buy

65

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 4.0Profit: 7.0Value: 7.7Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 1.66

UPST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 8.7Profit: 4.5Value: 4.0Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 0.80

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

PYPL5 strengths · Avg: 8.6/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.1x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
24.7%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 25 in profit

PEG RatioValuation
0.918/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
2.4x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.77B8/10

Generating 1.8B in free cash flow

UPST2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
42.3%10/10

Revenue surging 42.3% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
211.2%10/10

Earnings expanding 211.2% YoY

Areas to Watch

PYPL3 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
4.8%4/10

4.8% revenue growth

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.664/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

EPS GrowthGrowth
-3.1%2/10

Earnings declined 3.1%

UPST4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Return on EquityProfitability
6.7%3/10

ROE of 6.7% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
4.7%3/10

4.7% margin — thin

P/E RatioValuation
51.8x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-138.82M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : PYPL

The strongest argument for PYPL centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.91 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : UPST

The strongest argument for UPST centers on Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 42.3% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : PYPL

The primary concerns for PYPL are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : UPST

The primary concerns for UPST are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 51.8x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 2.54 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

PYPL profiles as a value stock while UPST is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.

UPST carries more volatility with a beta of 2.17 — expect wider price swings.

UPST is growing revenue faster at 42.3% — sustainability is the question.

PYPL generates stronger free cash flow (1.8B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

PYPL scores higher overall (65/100 vs 53/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

PayPal Holdings Inc

FINANCIAL SERVICES · CREDIT SERVICES · USA

PayPal Holdings, Inc. is an American company operating an online payments system in the majority of countries that support online money transfers, and serves as an electronic alternative to traditional paper methods like checks and money orders. The company operates as a payment processor for online vendors, auction sites, and many other commercial users, for which it charges a fee.

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Upstart Holdings Inc

FINANCIAL SERVICES · CREDIT SERVICES · USA

Upstart Holdings, Inc. operates a cloud-based artificial intelligence (AI) lending platform. The company is headquartered in San Mateo, California.

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