Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)
NOC
Northrop Grumman Corporation
$544.40
-0.14%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $76.21B
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
$22.28
-1.02%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $17.15B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 22% more annual revenue ($51.49B vs $42.37B). ZTO leads profitability with a 17.9% profit margin vs 10.8%. ZTO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.18. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 70/100 (B-).
NOC
Buy63
out of 100
Grade: C+
ZTO
Strong Buy70
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for NOC.
Margin of Safety
+64.6%
Fair Value
$70.28
Current Price
$22.28
$48.00 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Earnings expanding 84.9% YoY
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 27 in profit
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 22.0% year-over-year
Generating 2.8B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
4.4% revenue growth
Grey zone — moderate risk
Weak financial health signals
Expensive relative to growth rate
No major concerns identified
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : NOC
The strongest argument for NOC centers on EPS Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity.
Bull Case : ZTO
The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Altman Z-Score, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.9% and operating margin at 19.2%. Revenue growth of 22.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : NOC
The primary concerns for NOC are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score.
Bear Case : ZTO
No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
NOC profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
NOC carries more volatility with a beta of -0.11 — expect wider price swings.
ZTO is growing revenue faster at 22.0% — sustainability is the question.
ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (2.8B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ZTO scores higher overall (70/100 vs 63/100), backed by strong 17.9% margins and 22.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Northrop Grumman Corporation
INDUSTRIALS · AEROSPACE & DEFENSE · USA
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE: NOC) is an American multinational aerospace and defense technology company.
Visit Website →ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Visit Website →Compare with Other AEROSPACE & DEFENSE Stocks
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