WallStSmart

Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Lockheed Martin Corporation generates 46% more annual revenue ($75.11B vs $51.49B). ZTO leads profitability with a 17.9% profit margin vs 6.4%. LMT appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.09. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 70/100 (B-).

LMT

Buy

55

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.5Value: 4.7Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 2.09

ZTO

Strong Buy

70

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.0Value: 8.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 3.36
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

LMTSignificantly Overvalued (-53.9%)

Margin of Safety

-53.9%

Fair Value

$340.34

Current Price

$519.10

$178.76 premium

UndervaluedFair: $340.34Overvalued
ZTOUndervalued (+64.6%)

Margin of Safety

+64.6%

Fair Value

$70.28

Current Price

$22.28

$48.00 discount

UndervaluedFair: $70.28Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

LMT2 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
Return on EquityProfitability
64.0%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 64 in profit

Market CapQuality
$118.38B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

ZTO5 strengths · Avg: 8.4/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.3610/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

P/E RatioValuation
13.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
22.0%8/10

Revenue surging 22.0% year-over-year

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.79B8/10

Generating 2.8B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

LMT4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
Price/BookValuation
15.9x4/10

Trading at 15.9x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
0.3%4/10

0.3% revenue growth

Profit MarginProfitability
6.4%3/10

6.4% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

ZTO0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : LMT

The strongest argument for LMT centers on Return on Equity, Market Cap. PEG of 1.09 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : ZTO

The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Altman Z-Score, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.9% and operating margin at 19.2%. Revenue growth of 22.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : LMT

The primary concerns for LMT are Price/Book, Revenue Growth, Profit Margin. Debt-to-equity of 2.76 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : ZTO

No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

LMT profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

LMT carries more volatility with a beta of 0.10 — expect wider price swings.

ZTO is growing revenue faster at 22.0% — sustainability is the question.

ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (2.8B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ZTO scores higher overall (70/100 vs 55/100), backed by strong 17.9% margins and 22.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Lockheed Martin Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · AEROSPACE & DEFENSE · USA

Lockheed Martin Corporation is an American aerospace, defense, information security, and technology company with worldwide interests. It is headquartered in North Bethesda, Maryland, in the Washington, D.C., area.

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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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