WallStSmart

Murphy USA Inc (MUSA)vsUlta Beauty Inc (ULTA)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Murphy USA Inc generates 36% more annual revenue ($17.30B vs $12.71B). ULTA leads profitability with a 9.4% profit margin vs 3.2%. MUSA appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.51. ULTA earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).

MUSA

Buy

62

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.0Profit: 6.5Value: 5.0Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 5.90

ULTA

Buy

63

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.7Profit: 8.0Value: 4.7Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 3.41
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for MUSA.

ULTASignificantly Overvalued (-23.0%)

Margin of Safety

-23.0%

Fair Value

$555.27

Current Price

$467.07

$88.20 premium

UndervaluedFair: $555.27Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

MUSA3 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
88.8%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 89 in profit

EPS GrowthGrowth
176.8%10/10

Earnings expanding 176.8% YoY

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
5.9010/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

ULTA3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
Return on EquityProfitability
46.1%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 46 in profit

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.4110/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

P/E RatioValuation
17.5x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Areas to Watch

MUSA4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.514/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Price/BookValuation
15.3x4/10

Trading at 15.3x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
3.2%3/10

3.2% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
4.8%3/10

Operating margin of 4.8%

ULTA2 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.624/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : MUSA

The strongest argument for MUSA centers on Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Altman Z-Score.

Bull Case : ULTA

The strongest argument for ULTA centers on Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score, P/E Ratio. Revenue growth of 11.1% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : MUSA

The primary concerns for MUSA are PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Debt-to-equity of 4.08 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 3.2% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : ULTA

The primary concerns for ULTA are PEG Ratio, Piotroski F-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ULTA carries more volatility with a beta of 0.86 — expect wider price swings.

ULTA is growing revenue faster at 11.1% — sustainability is the question.

MUSA generates stronger free cash flow (222M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor SPECIALTY RETAIL industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

ULTA scores higher overall (63/100 vs 62/100) and 11.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Murphy USA Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · SPECIALTY RETAIL · USA

Murphy USA Inc. is engaged in the marketing of retail motor fuel products and convenience merchandise. The company is headquartered in El Dorado, Arkansas.

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Ulta Beauty Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · SPECIALTY RETAIL · USA

Ulta Beauty, Inc., formerly known as Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc., is an American chain of beauty stores headquartered in Bolingbrook, Illinois. Ulta Beauty carries cosmetics and skincare brands, men's and women's fragrances, nail products, bath and body products, beauty tools and haircare products.

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