WallStSmart

Caseys General Stores Inc (CASY)vsUlta Beauty Inc (ULTA)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Caseys General Stores Inc generates 38% more annual revenue ($17.56B vs $12.71B). ULTA leads profitability with a 9.4% profit margin vs 4.1%. ULTA appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.62. ULTA earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).

CASY

Buy

58

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.0Value: 3.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 3.19

ULTA

Buy

63

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.7Profit: 8.0Value: 4.7Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 3.41
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for CASY.

ULTASignificantly Overvalued (-23.0%)

Margin of Safety

-23.0%

Fair Value

$555.27

Current Price

$467.07

$88.20 premium

UndervaluedFair: $555.27Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CASY2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
66.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 66.0% YoY

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.1910/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

ULTA3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
Return on EquityProfitability
46.1%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 46 in profit

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.4110/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

P/E RatioValuation
17.5x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Areas to Watch

CASY3 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Profit MarginProfitability
4.1%3/10

4.1% margin — thin

PEG RatioValuation
2.542/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
46.7x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

ULTA2 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.624/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CASY

The strongest argument for CASY centers on EPS Growth, Altman Z-Score. Revenue growth of 14.5% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : ULTA

The strongest argument for ULTA centers on Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score, P/E Ratio. Revenue growth of 11.1% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CASY

The primary concerns for CASY are Profit Margin, PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 46.7x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 4.1% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : ULTA

The primary concerns for ULTA are PEG Ratio, Piotroski F-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ULTA carries more volatility with a beta of 0.86 — expect wider price swings.

CASY is growing revenue faster at 14.5% — sustainability is the question.

ULTA generates stronger free cash flow (204M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor SPECIALTY RETAIL industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

ULTA scores higher overall (63/100 vs 58/100) and 11.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Caseys General Stores Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · SPECIALTY RETAIL · USA

Casey's General Stores, Inc., operates convenience stores under the names Casey's and Casey's General Store. The company is headquartered in Ankeny, Iowa.

Ulta Beauty Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · SPECIALTY RETAIL · USA

Ulta Beauty, Inc., formerly known as Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc., is an American chain of beauty stores headquartered in Bolingbrook, Illinois. Ulta Beauty carries cosmetics and skincare brands, men's and women's fragrances, nail products, bath and body products, beauty tools and haircare products.

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