WallStSmart

The Mosaic Company (MOS)vsVale SA ADR (VALE)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vale SA ADR generates 1680% more annual revenue ($218.07B vs $12.25B). VALE leads profitability with a 4.8% profit margin vs -5.2%. VALE appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.33. VALE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 57/100 (C).

MOS

Buy

52

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.7Profit: 3.0Value: 6.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.16

VALE

Buy

57

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 3.3Profit: 5.5Value: 8.0Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.13
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

MOSUndervalued (+53.5%)

Margin of Safety

+53.5%

Fair Value

$67.04

Current Price

$25.19

$41.85 discount

UndervaluedFair: $67.04Overvalued
VALEUndervalued (+76.8%)

Margin of Safety

+76.8%

Fair Value

$74.92

Current Price

$15.23

$59.69 discount

UndervaluedFair: $74.92Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

MOS2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
0.7x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
239.5%10/10

Earnings expanding 239.5% YoY

VALE5 strengths · Avg: 8.6/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.3310/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Market CapQuality
$64.99B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Price/BookValuation
1.7x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
22.0%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 22.0%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.24B8/10

Generating 1.2B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

MOS4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.024/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
6.2%3/10

ROE of 6.2% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-6.0%2/10

Revenue declined 6.0%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-152.90M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

VALE4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
30.5x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Return on EquityProfitability
5.3%3/10

ROE of 5.3% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
4.8%3/10

4.8% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : MOS

The strongest argument for MOS centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth.

Bull Case : VALE

The strongest argument for VALE centers on PEG Ratio, Market Cap, Price/Book. PEG of 0.33 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : MOS

The primary concerns for MOS are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.

Bear Case : VALE

The primary concerns for VALE are P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Thin 4.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

MOS profiles as a turnaround stock while VALE is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

MOS carries more volatility with a beta of 0.83 — expect wider price swings.

VALE is growing revenue faster at 6.4% — sustainability is the question.

VALE generates stronger free cash flow (1.2B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

VALE scores higher overall (57/100 vs 52/100). MOS offers better value entry with a 53.5% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

The Mosaic Company

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

The Mosaic Company is a Fortune 500 company based in Tampa, Florida which mines phosphate and potash, and operates through segments such as international distribution and Mosaic Fertilizantes.

Visit Website →

Vale SA ADR

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

Vale SA produces and sells iron ore and iron ore pellets for use as raw material in steelmaking in Brazil and internationally. The company is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Want to dig deeper into these stocks?