WallStSmart

Altria Group (MO)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 335% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $20.14B). MO leads profitability with a 34.5% profit margin vs 12.9%. MO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.65. PGR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).

MO

Hold

47

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 2.0Profit: 8.5Value: 7.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.86

PGR

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

MOSignificantly Overvalued (-135.3%)

Margin of Safety

-135.3%

Fair Value

$28.02

Current Price

$63.78

$35.76 premium

UndervaluedFair: $28.02Overvalued
PGRUndervalued (+76.9%)

Margin of Safety

+76.9%

Fair Value

$900.43

Current Price

$202.84

$697.59 discount

UndervaluedFair: $900.43Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

MO6 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
Profit MarginProfitability
34.5%10/10

Keeps 35 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
57.1%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 57.1%

Debt/EquityHealth
-7.3410/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Market CapQuality
$107.97B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

P/E RatioValuation
15.6x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Free Cash FlowQuality
$3.18B8/10

Generating 3.2B in free cash flow

PGR5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
40.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit

Market CapQuality
$120.67B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

EPS GrowthGrowth
25.2%8/10

Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$3.05B8/10

Generating 3.0B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

MO4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.654/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
0.0%3/10

ROE of 0.0% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-0.5%2/10

Revenue declined 0.5%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-62.9%2/10

Earnings declined 62.9%

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
31.572/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : MO

The strongest argument for MO centers on Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Debt/Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 34.5% and operating margin at 57.1%.

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : MO

The primary concerns for MO are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

MO profiles as a declining stock while PGR is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

MO carries more volatility with a beta of 0.43 — expect wider price swings.

PGR is growing revenue faster at 12.2% — sustainability is the question.

MO generates stronger free cash flow (3.2B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

PGR scores higher overall (67/100 vs 47/100) and 12.2% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Altria Group

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · TOBACCO · USA

Altria Group, Inc. (previously known as Philip Morris Companies, Inc.) is an American corporation and one of the world's largest producers and marketers of tobacco, cigarettes and related products. It operates worldwide and is headquartered in unincorporated Henrico County, Virginia, just outside the city of Richmond.

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Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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