WallStSmart

Progressive Corp (PGR)vsPhilip Morris International Inc (PM)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 115% more annual revenue ($89.42B vs $41.49B). PM leads profitability with a 26.7% profit margin vs 12.9%. PM appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.93. PGR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 61/100 (C+).

PGR

Buy

61

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.5Value: 5.7Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9

PM

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.7Profit: 8.5Value: 4.0Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.18
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for PGR.

PMSignificantly Overvalued (-47.7%)

Margin of Safety

-47.7%

Fair Value

$115.79

Current Price

$170.99

$55.20 premium

UndervaluedFair: $115.79Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

PGR4 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.9x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
37.9%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 38 in profit

Market CapQuality
$113.36B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Free Cash FlowQuality
$4.30B8/10

Generating 4.3B in free cash flow

PM3 strengths · Avg: 9.7/10
Market CapQuality
$266.69B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Operating MarginProfitability
36.0%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 36.0%

Profit MarginProfitability
26.7%9/10

Keeps 27 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Areas to Watch

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
30.202/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

PM4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.934/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
0.0%3/10

ROE of 0.0% — below average capital efficiency

EPS GrowthGrowth
-9.3%2/10

Earnings declined 9.3%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-752.00M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap.

Bull Case : PM

The strongest argument for PM centers on Market Cap, Operating Margin, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 26.7% and operating margin at 36.0%.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : PM

The primary concerns for PM are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

PGR profiles as a value stock while PM is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.

PM carries more volatility with a beta of 0.39 — expect wider price swings.

PM is growing revenue faster at 9.1% — sustainability is the question.

PGR generates stronger free cash flow (4.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

PGR scores higher overall (61/100 vs 54/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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Philip Morris International Inc

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · TOBACCO · USA

Philip Morris International Inc. (PMI) is a Swiss-American multinational cigarette and tobacco manufacturing company, with products sold in over 180 countries. The most recognized and best selling product of the company is Marlboro.

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