WallStSmart

Progressive Corp (PGR)vsTurning Point Brands Inc (TPB)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 18493% more annual revenue ($89.42B vs $480.90M). PGR leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 11.5%. TPB appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.05. PGR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 61/100 (C+).

PGR

Buy

61

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.5Value: 5.7Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9

TPB

Buy

59

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 6.0Profit: 7.0Value: 6.3Quality: 5.0

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

PGR4 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.9x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
37.9%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 38 in profit

Market CapQuality
$113.36B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Free Cash FlowQuality
$4.30B8/10

Generating 4.3B in free cash flow

TPB3 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.0510/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Return on EquityProfitability
22.5%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 23 in profit

Revenue GrowthGrowth
16.8%8/10

16.8% revenue growth

Areas to Watch

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
30.202/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

TPB3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
30.9x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Market CapQuality
$1.74B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

EPS GrowthGrowth
-24.1%2/10

Earnings declined 24.1%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap.

Bull Case : TPB

The strongest argument for TPB centers on PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 16.8% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.05 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : TPB

The primary concerns for TPB are P/E Ratio, Market Cap, EPS Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

PGR profiles as a value stock while TPB is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

TPB carries more volatility with a beta of 0.93 — expect wider price swings.

TPB is growing revenue faster at 16.8% — sustainability is the question.

PGR generates stronger free cash flow (4.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

PGR scores higher overall (61/100 vs 59/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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Turning Point Brands Inc

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · TOBACCO · USA

Turning Point Brands, Inc. manufactures, markets and distributes branded consumer products. The company is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.

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