Forestar Group Inc (FOR)vsFive Point Holdings LLC (FPH)
FOR
Forestar Group Inc
$27.47
+0.18%
REAL ESTATE · Cap: $1.40B
FPH
Five Point Holdings LLC
$4.94
-2.37%
REAL ESTATE · Cap: $706.98M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Forestar Group Inc generates 1447% more annual revenue ($1.71B vs $110.44M). FPH leads profitability with a 41.2% profit margin vs 9.8%. FPH trades at a lower P/E of 7.8x. FOR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 51/100 (C-).
FOR
Buy51
out of 100
Grade: C-
FPH
Hold42
out of 100
Grade: D
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+70.3%
Fair Value
$99.38
Current Price
$27.47
$71.91 discount
Margin of Safety
+6.0%
Fair Value
$5.63
Current Price
$4.94
$0.69 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 22.3% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Keeps 41 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Areas to Watch
Grey zone — moderate risk
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Operating margin of 4.7%
Weak financial health signals
3.2% revenue growth
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of 5.4% — below average capital efficiency
Weak financial health signals
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : FOR
The strongest argument for FOR centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, EPS Growth.
Bull Case : FPH
The strongest argument for FPH centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 41.2% and operating margin at -70.7%.
Bear Case : FOR
The primary concerns for FOR are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Operating Margin.
Bear Case : FPH
The primary concerns for FPH are Revenue Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
FOR carries more volatility with a beta of 1.45 — expect wider price swings.
FPH is growing revenue faster at 3.2% — sustainability is the question.
FOR generates stronger free cash flow (152M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor REAL ESTATE - DEVELOPMENT industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
FOR scores higher overall (51/100 vs 42/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Forestar Group Inc
REAL ESTATE · REAL ESTATE - DEVELOPMENT · USA
Forestar Group Inc. is a residential lot development company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Arlington, Texas.
Five Point Holdings LLC
REAL ESTATE · REAL ESTATE - DEVELOPMENT · USA
Five Point Holdings, LLC, through its subsidiary, Five Point Operating Company, LP, designs and develops planned and mixed-use communities in Orange, Los Angeles and San Francisco counties. The company is headquartered in Irvine, California.
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