Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR)vsNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC)
DLTR
Dollar Tree Inc
$115.04
+2.41%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $21.01B
NGVC
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc
$30.08
-2.65%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $675.70M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Dollar Tree Inc generates 1393% more annual revenue ($20.07B vs $1.34B). DLTR leads profitability with a 8.0% profit margin vs 3.5%. DLTR appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.40. DLTR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 65/100 (C+).
DLTR
Buy65
out of 100
Grade: C+
NGVC
Buy50
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+19.8%
Fair Value
$155.85
Current Price
$115.04
$40.81 discount
Margin of Safety
+19.6%
Fair Value
$30.75
Current Price
$30.08
$0.67 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 47 in profit
Earnings expanding 197.2% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Elevated debt levels
1.8% revenue growth
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
3.5% margin — thin
Operating margin of 3.9%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : DLTR
The strongest argument for DLTR centers on Return on Equity, EPS Growth, P/E Ratio. PEG of 1.40 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : NGVC
The strongest argument for NGVC centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 1.44 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : DLTR
The primary concerns for DLTR are Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 2.24 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : NGVC
The primary concerns for NGVC are Revenue Growth, Market Cap, Profit Margin. Thin 3.5% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
NGVC carries more volatility with a beta of 1.25 — expect wider price swings.
DLTR is growing revenue faster at 7.0% — sustainability is the question.
DLTR generates stronger free cash flow (675M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor DISCOUNT STORES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
DLTR scores higher overall (65/100 vs 50/100). NGVC offers better value entry with a 19.6% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Dollar Tree Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · DISCOUNT STORES · USA
Dollar Tree is an American chain of discount variety stores that sells items for $1 or less, headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia.
Visit Website →Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · GROCERY STORES · USA
Natural Grocers of Vitamin Cottage, Inc., sells natural and organic foods and dietary supplements in the United States. The company is headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado.
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