WallStSmart

Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST)vsLanzaTech Global Inc. (LNZA)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Casella Waste Systems Inc generates 3115% more annual revenue ($1.88B vs $58.38M). CWST leads profitability with a 0.4% profit margin vs -76.0%. CWST earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 45/100 (D+).

CWST

Hold

45

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 8.0Profit: 4.0Value: 3.0Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.09

LNZA

Hold

37

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 6.7Profit: 2.0Value: 6.7Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: -16.14
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for CWST.

LNZAUndervalued (+85.7%)

Margin of Safety

+85.7%

Fair Value

$68.46

Current Price

$5.45

$63.01 discount

UndervaluedFair: $68.46Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CWST1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
60.2%10/10

Earnings expanding 60.2% YoY

LNZA2 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.1x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
26.8%8/10

Revenue surging 26.8% year-over-year

Areas to Watch

CWST4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
0.5%3/10

ROE of 0.5% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
0.4%3/10

0.4% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
2.7%3/10

Operating margin of 2.7%

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

LNZA4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Market CapQuality
$99.81M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
-189.4%2/10

ROE of -189.4% — below average capital efficiency

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-9.32M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CWST

The strongest argument for CWST centers on EPS Growth.

Bull Case : LNZA

The strongest argument for LNZA centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 26.8% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CWST

The primary concerns for CWST are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. A P/E of 812.5x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 0.4% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : LNZA

The primary concerns for LNZA are EPS Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CWST profiles as a value stock while LNZA is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

LNZA carries more volatility with a beta of 1.35 — expect wider price swings.

LNZA is growing revenue faster at 26.8% — sustainability is the question.

CWST generates stronger free cash flow (12M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CWST scores higher overall (45/100 vs 37/100). LNZA offers better value entry with a 85.7% margin of safety. Both earn "Hold" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Casella Waste Systems Inc

INDUSTRIALS · WASTE MANAGEMENT · USA

Casella Waste Systems, Inc., is a vertically integrated solid waste service company in the northeastern United States. The company is headquartered in Rutland, Vermont.

LanzaTech Global Inc.

INDUSTRIALS · WASTE MANAGEMENT · USA

LanzaTech Global, Inc. is a nature-based carbon refining company in North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia. The company is headquartered in Skokie, Illinois.

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