Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST)vsGfl Environmental Holdings Inc (GFL)
CWST
Casella Waste Systems Inc
$76.43
+0.49%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $4.85B
GFL
Gfl Environmental Holdings Inc
$39.67
+0.69%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $14.12B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Gfl Environmental Holdings Inc generates 260% more annual revenue ($6.62B vs $1.84B). GFL leads profitability with a 58.0% profit margin vs 0.4%. GFL trades at a lower P/E of 96.1x. GFL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 54/100 (C-).
CWST
Hold45
out of 100
Grade: D+
GFL
Buy54
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-1810.0%
Fair Value
$5.62
Current Price
$76.43
$70.81 premium
Margin of Safety
-153.9%
Fair Value
$17.35
Current Price
$39.67
$22.32 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Earnings expanding 60.2% YoY
Keeps 58 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 22.2% YoY
Areas to Watch
ROE of 0.5% — below average capital efficiency
0.4% margin — thin
Operating margin of 4.4%
Weak financial health signals
ROE of 3.3% — below average capital efficiency
Elevated debt levels
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Distress zone — elevated risk
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CWST
The strongest argument for CWST centers on EPS Growth.
Bull Case : GFL
The strongest argument for GFL centers on Profit Margin, Price/Book, EPS Growth. Profitability is solid with margins at 58.0% and operating margin at 6.4%.
Bear Case : CWST
The primary concerns for CWST are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. A P/E of 636.9x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 0.4% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : GFL
The primary concerns for GFL are Return on Equity, Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 96.1x leaves little room for execution misses.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CWST profiles as a value stock while GFL is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.
CWST carries more volatility with a beta of 0.78 — expect wider price swings.
CWST is growing revenue faster at 9.7% — sustainability is the question.
GFL generates stronger free cash flow (197M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GFL scores higher overall (54/100 vs 45/100), backed by strong 58.0% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Casella Waste Systems Inc
INDUSTRIALS · WASTE MANAGEMENT · USA
Casella Waste Systems, Inc., is a vertically integrated solid waste service company in the northeastern United States. The company is headquartered in Rutland, Vermont.
Gfl Environmental Holdings Inc
INDUSTRIALS · WASTE MANAGEMENT · USA
GFL Environmental Inc. is a diversified environmental services company in Canada and the United States. The company is headquartered in Vaughan, Canada.
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