WallStSmart

Casella Waste Systems Inc (CWST)vsWaste Connections Inc (WCN)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Waste Connections Inc generates 415% more annual revenue ($9.47B vs $1.84B). WCN leads profitability with a 11.4% profit margin vs 0.4%. WCN appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.22. WCN earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 51/100 (C-).

CWST

Hold

45

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 8.0Profit: 4.0Value: 2.0Quality: 4.8
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.20

WCN

Buy

51

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.7Profit: 6.5Value: 7.3Quality: 3.8
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.44
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CWSTSignificantly Overvalued (-1810.0%)

Margin of Safety

-1810.0%

Fair Value

$5.62

Current Price

$76.43

$70.81 premium

UndervaluedFair: $5.62Overvalued
WCNSignificantly Overvalued (-505.4%)

Margin of Safety

-505.4%

Fair Value

$28.36

Current Price

$157.06

$128.70 premium

UndervaluedFair: $28.36Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CWST1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
60.2%10/10

Earnings expanding 60.2% YoY

WCN0 strengths · Avg: 0/10

No standout strengths identified

Areas to Watch

CWST4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
0.5%3/10

ROE of 0.5% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
0.4%3/10

0.4% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
4.4%3/10

Operating margin of 4.4%

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

WCN4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
P/E RatioValuation
37.8x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

EPS GrowthGrowth
-6.7%2/10

Earnings declined 6.7%

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.442/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CWST

The strongest argument for CWST centers on EPS Growth.

Bull Case : WCN

PEG of 1.22 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : CWST

The primary concerns for CWST are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. A P/E of 636.9x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 0.4% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : WCN

The primary concerns for WCN are P/E Ratio, Piotroski F-Score, EPS Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CWST carries more volatility with a beta of 0.78 — expect wider price swings.

CWST is growing revenue faster at 9.7% — sustainability is the question.

WCN generates stronger free cash flow (157M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor WASTE MANAGEMENT industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

WCN scores higher overall (51/100 vs 45/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Casella Waste Systems Inc

INDUSTRIALS · WASTE MANAGEMENT · USA

Casella Waste Systems, Inc., is a vertically integrated solid waste service company in the northeastern United States. The company is headquartered in Rutland, Vermont.

Waste Connections Inc

INDUSTRIALS · WASTE MANAGEMENT · USA

Waste Connections, Inc. provides waste collection, transfer, disposal and recycling services in the United States and Canada. The company is headquartered in Vaughan, Canada.

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