Cosan SA ADR (CSAN)vsUltrapar Participacoes SA ADR (UGP)
CSAN
Cosan SA ADR
$2.79
-2.79%
ENERGY · Cap: $2.96B
UGP
Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR
$4.91
-2.66%
ENERGY · Cap: $5.24B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR generates 266% more annual revenue ($145.79B vs $39.78B). UGP leads profitability with a 2.1% profit margin vs -23.9%. UGP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 65/100 (B-).
CSAN
Hold42
out of 100
Grade: D
UGP
Strong Buy65
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+61.8%
Fair Value
$13.16
Current Price
$2.79
$10.37 discount
Intrinsic value data unavailable for UGP.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Strong operational efficiency at 30.7%
Revenue surging 26.5% year-over-year
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 91 in profit
Earnings expanding 167.4% YoY
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
ROE of -29.9% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 56.9%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
2.1% margin — thin
Operating margin of 5.0%
Elevated debt levels
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CSAN
The strongest argument for CSAN centers on Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 26.5% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : UGP
The strongest argument for UGP centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 10.3% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.78 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : CSAN
The primary concerns for CSAN are Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Free Cash Flow. Debt-to-equity of 18.57 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : UGP
The primary concerns for UGP are Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Debt/Equity. Thin 2.1% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CSAN profiles as a growth stock while UGP is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
CSAN carries more volatility with a beta of 0.60 — expect wider price swings.
CSAN is growing revenue faster at 26.5% — sustainability is the question.
UGP generates stronger free cash flow (171M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
UGP scores higher overall (65/100 vs 42/100) and 10.3% revenue growth. CSAN offers better value entry with a 61.8% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Cosan SA ADR
ENERGY · OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING · USA
Cosan SA is mainly engaged in the fuel distribution business in Brazil, Europe, Latin America, North America, Asia and internationally. The company is headquartered in So Paulo, Brazil.
Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR
ENERGY · OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING · USA
Ultrapar Participaes SA is engaged in the gas distribution, fuel distribution, chemical products, storage and pharmacy businesses mainly in Brazil, Mexico, Uruguay, Venezuela, other Latin American countries, the United States, Canada, the Far East, Europe and internationally. The company is headquartered in So Paulo, Brazil.
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