WallStSmart

Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)vsUltrapar Participacoes SA ADR (UGP)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR generates 7% more annual revenue ($145.79B vs $135.95B). MPC leads profitability with a 3.4% profit margin vs 2.1%. UGP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.78. UGP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).

MPC

Buy

62

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.0Profit: 6.0Value: 4.0Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.83

UGP

Buy

63

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.0Profit: 6.5Value: 7.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 3.98
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

MPCSignificantly Overvalued (-26.6%)

Margin of Safety

-26.6%

Fair Value

$164.80

Current Price

$312.61

$147.81 premium

UndervaluedFair: $164.80Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for UGP.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

MPC3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
350.7%10/10

Earnings expanding 350.7% YoY

Market CapQuality
$92.20B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Return on EquityProfitability
27.6%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 28 in profit

UGP6 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
11.6x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
90.7%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 91 in profit

EPS GrowthGrowth
167.4%10/10

Earnings expanding 167.4% YoY

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.9810/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

PEG RatioValuation
0.788/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
2.1x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

MPC4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.594/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Profit MarginProfitability
3.4%3/10

3.4% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
3.6%3/10

Operating margin of 3.6%

Debt/EquityHealth
2.051/10

Elevated debt levels

UGP3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Profit MarginProfitability
2.1%3/10

2.1% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
5.0%3/10

Operating margin of 5.0%

Debt/EquityHealth
1.283/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : MPC

The strongest argument for MPC centers on EPS Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity.

Bull Case : UGP

The strongest argument for UGP centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 10.3% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.78 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : MPC

The primary concerns for MPC are PEG Ratio, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. Debt-to-equity of 2.05 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 3.4% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : UGP

The primary concerns for UGP are Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Debt/Equity. Thin 2.1% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

MPC carries more volatility with a beta of 0.52 — expect wider price swings.

UGP is growing revenue faster at 10.3% — sustainability is the question.

MPC generates stronger free cash flow (208M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

UGP scores higher overall (63/100 vs 62/100) and 10.3% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Marathon Petroleum Corp

ENERGY · OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING · USA

Marathon Petroleum Corporation is an American petroleum refining, marketing, and transportation company headquartered in Findlay, Ohio.

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Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR

ENERGY · OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING · USA

Ultrapar Participaes SA is engaged in the gas distribution, fuel distribution, chemical products, storage and pharmacy businesses mainly in Brazil, Mexico, Uruguay, Venezuela, other Latin American countries, the United States, Canada, the Far East, Europe and internationally. The company is headquartered in So Paulo, Brazil.

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