Capital One Financial Corporation (COF)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)
COF
Capital One Financial Corporation
$185.23
+0.32%
FINANCIAL SERVICES · Cap: $112.86B
PGR
Progressive Corp
$202.84
-1.63%
FINANCIAL SERVICES · Cap: $120.67B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Progressive Corp generates 167% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $32.78B). PGR leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 7.5%. COF appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.19. COF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 75/100 (B+).
COF
Strong Buy75
out of 100
Grade: B+
PGR
Strong Buy67
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-50.8%
Fair Value
$142.20
Current Price
$185.23
$43.03 premium
Margin of Safety
+76.9%
Fair Value
$900.43
Current Price
$202.84
$697.59 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 51.6% year-over-year
Large-cap with strong market position
Strong operational efficiency at 22.9%
Earnings expanding 22.2% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit
Large-cap with strong market position
Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY
Generating 3.0B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
ROE of 2.4% — below average capital efficiency
7.5% margin — thin
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Expensive relative to growth rate
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : COF
The strongest argument for COF centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 51.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.19 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : PGR
The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : COF
The primary concerns for COF are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 54.0x leaves little room for execution misses.
Bear Case : PGR
The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
COF profiles as a hypergrowth stock while PGR is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
COF carries more volatility with a beta of 1.14 — expect wider price swings.
COF is growing revenue faster at 51.6% — sustainability is the question.
COF generates stronger free cash flow (6.7B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
COF scores higher overall (75/100 vs 67/100) and 51.6% revenue growth. PGR offers better value entry with a 76.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Capital One Financial Corporation
FINANCIAL SERVICES · CREDIT SERVICES · USA
Capital One Financial Corporation is an American bank holding company specializing in credit cards, auto loans, banking, and savings accounts, headquartered in McLean, Virginia with operations primarily in the United States.
Progressive Corp
FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA
The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.
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