WallStSmart

Progressive Corp (PGR)vsPayPal Holdings Inc (PYPL)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 164% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $33.17B). PYPL leads profitability with a 15.8% profit margin vs 12.9%. PYPL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.69. PYPL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 78/100 (B+).

PGR

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9

PYPL

Strong Buy

78

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 6.7Profit: 8.0Value: 10.0Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 1.66
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

PGRUndervalued (+76.9%)

Margin of Safety

+76.9%

Fair Value

$900.43

Current Price

$202.84

$697.59 discount

UndervaluedFair: $900.43Overvalued
PYPLUndervalued (+82.3%)

Margin of Safety

+82.3%

Fair Value

$253.19

Current Price

$44.85

$208.34 discount

UndervaluedFair: $253.19Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

PGR5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
40.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit

Market CapQuality
$120.67B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

EPS GrowthGrowth
25.2%8/10

Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$3.05B8/10

Generating 3.0B in free cash flow

PYPL6 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
8.2x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
25.7%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 26 in profit

PEG RatioValuation
0.698/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
2.0x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
39.4%8/10

Earnings expanding 39.4% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.19B8/10

Generating 2.2B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
31.572/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

PYPL2 concerns · Avg: 4.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
3.7%4/10

3.7% revenue growth

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.664/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : PYPL

The strongest argument for PYPL centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, PEG Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 15.8% and operating margin at 17.5%. PEG of 0.69 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : PYPL

The primary concerns for PYPL are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

PYPL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.46 — expect wider price swings.

PGR is growing revenue faster at 12.2% — sustainability is the question.

PGR generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

PYPL scores higher overall (78/100 vs 67/100), backed by strong 15.8% margins. PGR offers better value entry with a 76.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

Visit Website →

PayPal Holdings Inc

FINANCIAL SERVICES · CREDIT SERVICES · USA

PayPal Holdings, Inc. is an American company operating an online payments system in the majority of countries that support online money transfers, and serves as an electronic alternative to traditional paper methods like checks and money orders. The company operates as a payment processor for online vendors, auction sites, and many other commercial users, for which it charges a fee.

Visit Website →

Want to dig deeper into these stocks?