WallStSmart

American Express Company (AXP)vsCapital One Financial Corporation (COF)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

American Express Company generates 104% more annual revenue ($66.97B vs $32.78B). AXP leads profitability with a 16.2% profit margin vs 7.5%. COF appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.19. COF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 75/100 (B+).

AXP

Strong Buy

66

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 8.0Value: 10.0Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.13

COF

Strong Buy

75

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 9.3Profit: 6.5Value: 4.7Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AXPUndervalued (+42.5%)

Margin of Safety

+42.5%

Fair Value

$513.41

Current Price

$294.39

$219.02 discount

UndervaluedFair: $513.41Overvalued
COFSignificantly Overvalued (-50.8%)

Margin of Safety

-50.8%

Fair Value

$142.20

Current Price

$179.67

$37.47 premium

UndervaluedFair: $142.20Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AXP3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
Market CapQuality
$205.42B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
34.0%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 34 in profit

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.35B8/10

Generating 2.3B in free cash flow

COF6 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.1910/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
1.0x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
51.6%10/10

Revenue surging 51.6% year-over-year

Market CapQuality
$114.07B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Operating MarginProfitability
22.9%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 22.9%

EPS GrowthGrowth
22.2%8/10

Earnings expanding 22.2% YoY

Areas to Watch

AXP3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.544/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Debt/EquityHealth
1.733/10

Elevated debt levels

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.132/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

COF3 concerns · Avg: 2.7/10
Return on EquityProfitability
2.4%3/10

ROE of 2.4% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
7.5%3/10

7.5% margin — thin

P/E RatioValuation
54.6x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AXP

The strongest argument for AXP centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Free Cash Flow. Profitability is solid with margins at 16.2% and operating margin at 17.5%. Revenue growth of 10.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : COF

The strongest argument for COF centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 51.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.19 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : AXP

The primary concerns for AXP are PEG Ratio, Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 1.73 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : COF

The primary concerns for COF are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 54.6x leaves little room for execution misses.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AXP profiles as a mature stock while COF is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.

AXP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.15 — expect wider price swings.

COF is growing revenue faster at 51.6% — sustainability is the question.

COF generates stronger free cash flow (6.7B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

COF scores higher overall (75/100 vs 66/100) and 51.6% revenue growth. AXP offers better value entry with a 42.5% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

American Express Company

FINANCIAL SERVICES · CREDIT SERVICES · USA

The American Express Company is a multinational financial services corporation headquartered at 200 Vesey Street in the Battery Park City neighborhood of Lower Manhattan in New York City.

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Capital One Financial Corporation

FINANCIAL SERVICES · CREDIT SERVICES · USA

Capital One Financial Corporation is an American bank holding company specializing in credit cards, auto loans, banking, and savings accounts, headquartered in McLean, Virginia with operations primarily in the United States.

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