WallStSmart

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ)vsGeoPark Ltd (GPRK)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd generates 7890% more annual revenue ($38.63B vs $483.54M). CNQ leads profitability with a 25.1% profit margin vs 11.7%. GPRK trades at a lower P/E of 10.0x. GPRK earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 61/100 (C+).

CNQ

Buy

58

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 2.0Profit: 8.5Value: 7.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.05

GPRK

Buy

61

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 4.7Profit: 7.5Value: 7.7Quality: 3.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 1.28
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CNQUndervalued (+45.4%)

Margin of Safety

+45.4%

Fair Value

$83.74

Current Price

$45.70

$38.04 discount

UndervaluedFair: $83.74Overvalued
GPRKUndervalued (+23.9%)

Margin of Safety

+23.9%

Fair Value

$11.37

Current Price

$11.19

$0.18 discount

UndervaluedFair: $11.37Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CNQ6 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
11.8x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
30.3%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 30 in profit

Market CapQuality
$98.47B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Profit MarginProfitability
25.1%9/10

Keeps 25 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Price/BookValuation
2.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
21.8%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 21.8%

GPRK4 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.0x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Operating MarginProfitability
45.2%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 45.2%

Price/BookValuation
2.5x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
44.0%8/10

Earnings expanding 44.0% YoY

Areas to Watch

CNQ3 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
3.422/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-1.2%2/10

Revenue declined 1.2%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-45.3%2/10

Earnings declined 45.3%

GPRK4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Market CapQuality
$683.70M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-6.5%2/10

Revenue declined 6.5%

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.282/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CNQ

The strongest argument for CNQ centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 25.1% and operating margin at 21.8%.

Bull Case : GPRK

The strongest argument for GPRK centers on P/E Ratio, Operating Margin, Price/Book.

Bear Case : CNQ

The primary concerns for CNQ are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : GPRK

The primary concerns for GPRK are Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score, Revenue Growth. Debt-to-equity of 2.17 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CNQ carries more volatility with a beta of 0.91 — expect wider price swings.

CNQ is growing revenue faster at -1.2% — sustainability is the question.

CNQ generates stronger free cash flow (856M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor OIL & GAS E&P industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

GPRK scores higher overall (61/100 vs 58/100). CNQ offers better value entry with a 45.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Canadian Natural Resources Limited acquires, explores, develops, produces, markets and sells crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL). The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

GeoPark Ltd

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

GeoPark Limited is engaged in the exploration, development and production of oil and gas reserves in Chile, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, Peru and Ecuador. The company is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.

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