WallStSmart

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ)vsEvolution Petroleum Corporation Inc (EPM)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd generates 46310% more annual revenue ($38.63B vs $83.24M). CNQ leads profitability with a 25.1% profit margin vs -4.4%. EPM appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.69. CNQ earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 56/100 (C).

CNQ

Buy

56

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 2.0Profit: 8.5Value: 7.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.05

EPM

Hold

36

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 2.0Profit: 2.0Value: 7.7Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 1.31
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CNQUndervalued (+46.0%)

Margin of Safety

+46.0%

Fair Value

$82.81

Current Price

$45.53

$37.28 discount

UndervaluedFair: $82.81Overvalued
EPMUndervalued (+89.5%)

Margin of Safety

+89.5%

Fair Value

$40.37

Current Price

$3.65

$36.72 discount

UndervaluedFair: $40.37Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CNQ6 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
11.8x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
30.3%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 30 in profit

Market CapQuality
$96.32B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Profit MarginProfitability
25.1%9/10

Keeps 25 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Price/BookValuation
3.0x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
21.8%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 21.8%

EPM3 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
Debt/EquityHealth
0.0110/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

PEG RatioValuation
0.698/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
2.2x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

CNQ3 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
3.422/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-1.2%2/10

Revenue declined 1.2%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-45.3%2/10

Earnings declined 45.3%

EPM4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Market CapQuality
$137.20M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Return on EquityProfitability
-6.2%2/10

ROE of -6.2% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-10.6%2/10

Revenue declined 10.6%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CNQ

The strongest argument for CNQ centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 25.1% and operating margin at 21.8%.

Bull Case : EPM

The strongest argument for EPM centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 0.69 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : CNQ

The primary concerns for CNQ are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : EPM

The primary concerns for EPM are Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score, Return on Equity.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CNQ profiles as a declining stock while EPM is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.

CNQ carries more volatility with a beta of 0.88 — expect wider price swings.

CNQ is growing revenue faster at -1.2% — sustainability is the question.

CNQ generates stronger free cash flow (856M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CNQ scores higher overall (56/100 vs 36/100), backed by strong 25.1% margins. EPM offers better value entry with a 89.5% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Canadian Natural Resources Limited acquires, explores, develops, produces, markets and sells crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL). The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Evolution Petroleum Corporation, an oil and gas company, is engaged in the development, production, ownership and management of oil and gas properties in the United States. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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