ConocoPhillips (COP)vsEvolution Petroleum Corporation Inc (EPM)
COP
ConocoPhillips
$128.93
-0.32%
ENERGY · Cap: $157.60B
EPM
Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc
$4.51
0.00%
ENERGY · Cap: $161.72M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ConocoPhillips generates 70290% more annual revenue ($60.28B vs $85.64M). COP leads profitability with a 13.3% profit margin vs 3.6%. EPM appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.69. COP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 48/100 (D+).
COP
Hold48
out of 100
Grade: D+
EPM
Hold45
out of 100
Grade: D
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-157.1%
Fair Value
$43.25
Current Price
$128.93
$85.68 premium
Margin of Safety
-681.5%
Fair Value
$0.54
Current Price
$4.51
$3.97 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Large-cap with strong market position
Reasonable price relative to book value
Generating 1.3B in free cash flow
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Revenue declined 6.8%
Earnings declined 39.0%
2.0% revenue growth
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of 4.3% — below average capital efficiency
3.6% margin — thin
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : COP
The strongest argument for COP centers on Market Cap, Price/Book, Free Cash Flow.
Bull Case : EPM
The strongest argument for EPM centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 0.69 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : COP
The primary concerns for COP are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.
Bear Case : EPM
The primary concerns for EPM are Revenue Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity. A P/E of 57.8x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 3.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
COP profiles as a declining stock while EPM is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
EPM carries more volatility with a beta of 0.32 — expect wider price swings.
EPM is growing revenue faster at 2.0% — sustainability is the question.
COP generates stronger free cash flow (1.3B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
COP scores higher overall (48/100 vs 45/100). Both earn "Hold" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
ConocoPhillips
ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA
ConocoPhillips is an American multinational corporation engaged in hydrocarbon exploration. It is based in the Energy Corridor district of Houston, Texas.
Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc
ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA
Evolution Petroleum Corporation, an oil and gas company, is engaged in the development, production, ownership and management of oil and gas properties in the United States. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
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