WallStSmart

Burlington Stores Inc (BURL)vsCiti Trends Inc (CTRN)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Burlington Stores Inc generates 1303% more annual revenue ($12.21B vs $869.97M). BURL leads profitability with a 5.8% profit margin vs 0.8%. CTRN appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.85. BURL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).

BURL

Buy

63

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.5Value: 3.3Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.95

CTRN

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 6.7Profit: 3.5Value: 2.0Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.86
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

BURLSignificantly Overvalued (-23.7%)

Margin of Safety

-23.7%

Fair Value

$247.19

Current Price

$239.04

$8.15 premium

UndervaluedFair: $247.19Overvalued
CTRNSignificantly Overvalued (-37.4%)

Margin of Safety

-37.4%

Fair Value

$33.55

Current Price

$60.62

$27.07 premium

UndervaluedFair: $33.55Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

BURL2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
35.7%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 36 in profit

EPS GrowthGrowth
95.9%10/10

Earnings expanding 95.9% YoY

CTRN1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
739.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 739.0% YoY

Areas to Watch

BURL4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.954/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Profit MarginProfitability
5.8%3/10

5.8% margin — thin

PEG RatioValuation
2.992/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-16.50M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

CTRN4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Market CapQuality
$505.54M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
5.9%3/10

ROE of 5.9% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
0.8%3/10

0.8% margin — thin

Debt/EquityHealth
1.453/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : BURL

The strongest argument for BURL centers on Return on Equity, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 11.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : CTRN

The strongest argument for CTRN centers on EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 10.9% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : BURL

The primary concerns for BURL are Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin, PEG Ratio. Debt-to-equity of 2.95 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : CTRN

The primary concerns for CTRN are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 70.5x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 0.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CTRN carries more volatility with a beta of 1.82 — expect wider price swings.

BURL is growing revenue faster at 11.0% — sustainability is the question.

BURL generates stronger free cash flow (-17M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor APPAREL RETAIL industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

BURL scores higher overall (63/100 vs 54/100) and 11.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Burlington Stores Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · APPAREL RETAIL · USA

Burlington Stores, Inc. is a branded apparel retailer in the United States. The company is headquartered in Burlington, New Jersey.

Citi Trends Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · APPAREL RETAIL · USA

Citi Trends, Inc. is a retailer of affordable fashion clothing, accessories and home goods. The company is headquartered in Savannah, Georgia.

Want to dig deeper into these stocks?