BHP Group Limited (BHP)vsCentury Aluminum Company (CENX)
BHP
BHP Group Limited
$68.77
+0.82%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $166.46B
CENX
Century Aluminum Company
$50.19
-0.08%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $4.97B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
BHP Group Limited generates 2036% more annual revenue ($53.99B vs $2.53B). BHP leads profitability with a 19.0% profit margin vs 1.6%. CENX appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.06. BHP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 64/100 (C+).
BHP
Buy64
out of 100
Grade: C+
CENX
Hold41
out of 100
Grade: D
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+57.8%
Fair Value
$188.60
Current Price
$68.77
$119.83 discount
Margin of Safety
-1768.5%
Fair Value
$2.86
Current Price
$50.19
$47.33 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Strong operational efficiency at 40.7%
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 25 in profit
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Earnings expanding 27.5% YoY
Generating 4.3B in free cash flow
Growing faster than its price suggests
Revenue surging 40.0% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
ROE of 1.6% — below average capital efficiency
1.6% margin — thin
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Earnings declined 95.1%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : BHP
The strongest argument for BHP centers on Operating Margin, Market Cap, Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 19.0% and operating margin at 40.7%. Revenue growth of 10.8% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : CENX
The strongest argument for CENX centers on PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 40.0% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : BHP
The primary concerns for BHP are PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : CENX
The primary concerns for CENX are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 119.5x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 1.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
BHP profiles as a mature stock while CENX is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.
CENX carries more volatility with a beta of 2.12 — expect wider price swings.
CENX is growing revenue faster at 40.0% — sustainability is the question.
BHP generates stronger free cash flow (4.3B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
BHP scores higher overall (64/100 vs 41/100), backed by strong 19.0% margins and 10.8% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
BHP Group Limited
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
BHP Group engages in the natural resources business in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, the rest of Asia, North America, South America and internationally. The company is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.
Century Aluminum Company
BASIC MATERIALS · ALUMINUM · USA
Century Aluminum Company produces standard quality and value-added primary aluminum products in the United States and Iceland. The company is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
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