WallStSmart

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI)vsAnnaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Annaly Capital Management, Inc. generates 832% more annual revenue ($2.50B vs $268.48M). NLY leads profitability with a 87.4% profit margin vs 47.3%. ARI appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.33. NLY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 77/100 (B+).

ARI

Strong Buy

66

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 4.0Profit: 7.0Value: 7.0Quality: 3.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.23

NLY

Strong Buy

77

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 9.3Profit: 8.0Value: 4.7Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: -0.56
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for ARI.

NLYSignificantly Overvalued (-37.5%)

Margin of Safety

-37.5%

Fair Value

$16.59

Current Price

$23.20

$6.61 premium

UndervaluedFair: $16.59Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ARI4 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
8.4x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
0.5x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
47.3%10/10

Keeps 47 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
41.4%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 41.4%

NLY6 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
7.4x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.2x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
87.4%10/10

Keeps 87 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
81.0%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 81.0%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
48.8%10/10

Revenue surging 48.8% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
122.5%10/10

Earnings expanding 122.5% YoY

Areas to Watch

ARI4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
0.2%4/10

0.2% revenue growth

EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Market CapQuality
$900.92M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
7.0%3/10

ROE of 7.0% — below average capital efficiency

NLY4 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
32.032/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-1.90B2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
-0.562/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ARI

The strongest argument for ARI centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 47.3% and operating margin at 41.4%. PEG of 1.33 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : NLY

The strongest argument for NLY centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 87.4% and operating margin at 81.0%. Revenue growth of 48.8% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : ARI

The primary concerns for ARI are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Market Cap. Debt-to-equity of 4.50 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : NLY

The primary concerns for NLY are Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio, Free Cash Flow. Debt-to-equity of 7.38 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ARI profiles as a value stock while NLY is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

ARI carries more volatility with a beta of 1.41 — expect wider price swings.

NLY is growing revenue faster at 48.8% — sustainability is the question.

ARI generates stronger free cash flow (-271,000), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

NLY scores higher overall (77/100 vs 66/100), backed by strong 87.4% margins and 48.8% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that originates, acquires, invests, and manages commercial first mortgage loans, subordinated financings, and other real estate-related commercial debt investments in the United States. . The company is headquartered in New York, New York.

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Annaly Capital Management, Inc.

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

Annaly Capital Management, Inc., a diversified capital manager, invests in and finances residential and commercial assets. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.

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