WallStSmart

AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNCM)vsApollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

AGNC Investment Corp. generates 794% more annual revenue ($2.40B vs $268.48M). AGNCM leads profitability with a 94.4% profit margin vs 47.3%. ARI earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 66/100 (B-).

AGNCM

Buy

63

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.5Value: 6.0Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: -0.95

ARI

Strong Buy

66

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 4.0Profit: 7.0Value: 7.0Quality: 3.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.23
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AGNCMUndervalued (+24.6%)

Margin of Safety

+24.6%

Fair Value

$33.15

Current Price

$24.97

$8.18 discount

UndervaluedFair: $33.15Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for ARI.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AGNCM5 strengths · Avg: 9.6/10
Profit MarginProfitability
94.4%10/10

Keeps 94 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
95.6%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 95.6%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
546.0%10/10

Revenue surging 546.0% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
772.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 772.0% YoY

Price/BookValuation
2.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

ARI4 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
8.4x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
0.5x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
47.3%10/10

Keeps 47 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
41.4%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 41.4%

Areas to Watch

AGNCM3 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
-0.952/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
7.161/10

Elevated debt levels

ARI4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
0.2%4/10

0.2% revenue growth

EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Market CapQuality
$900.92M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
7.0%3/10

ROE of 7.0% — below average capital efficiency

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AGNCM

The strongest argument for AGNCM centers on Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Profitability is solid with margins at 94.4% and operating margin at 95.6%. Revenue growth of 546.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : ARI

The strongest argument for ARI centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 47.3% and operating margin at 41.4%. PEG of 1.33 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : AGNCM

The primary concerns for AGNCM are Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 7.16 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : ARI

The primary concerns for ARI are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Market Cap. Debt-to-equity of 4.50 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AGNCM profiles as a growth stock while ARI is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

ARI carries more volatility with a beta of 1.41 — expect wider price swings.

AGNCM is growing revenue faster at 546.0% — sustainability is the question.

AGNCM generates stronger free cash flow (387M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ARI scores higher overall (66/100 vs 63/100), backed by strong 47.3% margins. AGNCM offers better value entry with a 24.6% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

AGNC Investment Corp.

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

AGNC Investment Corp. The company is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.

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Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that originates, acquires, invests, and manages commercial first mortgage loans, subordinated financings, and other real estate-related commercial debt investments in the United States. . The company is headquartered in New York, New York.

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