WallStSmart

Arthur J Gallagher & Co (AJG)vsGoosehead Insurance Inc (GSHD)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Arthur J Gallagher & Co generates 3468% more annual revenue ($13.01B vs $364.63M). AJG leads profitability with a 11.5% profit margin vs 7.6%. AJG trades at a lower P/E of 37.2x. AJG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C).

AJG

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 6.7Profit: 5.0Value: 7.3Quality: 4.3
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.76

GSHD

Hold

47

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 6.0Profit: 8.0Value: 5.7Quality: 6.3
Piotroski: 3/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AJGSignificantly Overvalued (-426.0%)

Margin of Safety

-426.0%

Fair Value

$39.03

Current Price

$213.56

$174.53 premium

UndervaluedFair: $39.03Overvalued
GSHDSignificantly Overvalued (-635.6%)

Margin of Safety

-635.6%

Fair Value

$6.73

Current Price

$41.19

$34.46 premium

UndervaluedFair: $6.73Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AJG4 strengths · Avg: 8.8/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
36.7%10/10

Revenue surging 36.7% year-over-year

Market CapQuality
$54.91B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

PEG RatioValuation
0.938/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
2.4x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

GSHD3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
Return on EquityProfitability
175.8%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 176 in profit

Debt/EquityHealth
-0.3710/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Operating MarginProfitability
29.3%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 29.3%

Areas to Watch

AJG4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
P/E RatioValuation
37.2x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Return on EquityProfitability
6.9%3/10

ROE of 6.9% — below average capital efficiency

EPS GrowthGrowth
-48.3%2/10

Earnings declined 48.3%

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.762/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

GSHD4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Market CapQuality
$1.55B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Profit MarginProfitability
7.6%3/10

7.6% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
42.4x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AJG

The strongest argument for AJG centers on Revenue Growth, Market Cap, PEG Ratio. Revenue growth of 36.7% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.93 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : GSHD

The strongest argument for GSHD centers on Return on Equity, Debt/Equity, Operating Margin. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : AJG

The primary concerns for AJG are P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : GSHD

The primary concerns for GSHD are Market Cap, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 42.4x leaves little room for execution misses.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AJG profiles as a growth stock while GSHD is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

GSHD carries more volatility with a beta of 1.62 — expect wider price swings.

AJG is growing revenue faster at 36.7% — sustainability is the question.

AJG generates stronger free cash flow (713M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AJG scores higher overall (60/100 vs 47/100) and 36.7% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Arthur J Gallagher & Co

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE BROKERS · USA

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) is an American global insurance brokerage and risk management services firm headquartered in Rolling Meadows, Illinois.

Goosehead Insurance Inc

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE BROKERS · USA

Goosehead Insurance, Inc. is a portfolio company of Goosehead Financial, LLC providing personal lines insurance agency services in the United States. The company is headquartered in Westlake, Texas.

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