WallStSmart

American Financial Group Inc (AFG)vsThe Allstate Corporation (ALL)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

The Allstate Corporation generates 752% more annual revenue ($67.68B vs $7.94B). ALL leads profitability with a 15.2% profit margin vs 10.6%. ALL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.45. ALL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 87/100 (A).

AFG

Buy

61

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 5.3Profit: 6.5Value: 10.0Quality: 4.8
Piotroski: 3/9

ALL

Exceptional Buy

87

out of 100

Grade: A

Growth: 7.3Profit: 8.5Value: 10.0Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AFGUndervalued (+64.4%)

Margin of Safety

+64.4%

Fair Value

$362.07

Current Price

$126.85

$235.22 discount

UndervaluedFair: $362.07Overvalued
ALLUndervalued (+88.5%)

Margin of Safety

+88.5%

Fair Value

$1781.21

Current Price

$204.71

$1576.50 discount

UndervaluedFair: $1781.21Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AFG3 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
12.7x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.2x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
21.3%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 21.3%

ALL6 strengths · Avg: 9.7/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.4510/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

P/E RatioValuation
5.4x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
39.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 40 in profit

EPS GrowthGrowth
103.2%10/10

Earnings expanding 103.2% YoY

Market CapQuality
$53.13B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Debt/EquityHealth
0.249/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Areas to Watch

AFG3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.304/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-3.4%2/10

Revenue declined 3.4%

ALL0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AFG

The strongest argument for AFG centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Operating Margin.

Bull Case : ALL

The strongest argument for ALL centers on PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 15.2% and operating margin at 29.0%. PEG of 0.45 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : AFG

The primary concerns for AFG are PEG Ratio, Piotroski F-Score, Revenue Growth.

Bear Case : ALL

No major red flags identified for ALL, but monitor valuation.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AFG profiles as a declining stock while ALL is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.

AFG carries more volatility with a beta of 0.67 — expect wider price swings.

ALL is growing revenue faster at 5.1% — sustainability is the question.

ALL generates stronger free cash flow (2.9B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ALL scores higher overall (87/100 vs 61/100), backed by strong 15.2% margins. AFG offers better value entry with a 64.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Exceptional Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

American Financial Group Inc

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

American Financial Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, offers property and casualty insurance products in the United States. The company is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.

The Allstate Corporation

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Allstate Corporation is an American insurance company, headquartered in Northfield Township, Illinois.

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