Agree Realty Corporation (ADC)vsSimon Property Group Inc (SPG)
ADC
Agree Realty Corporation
$73.41
+1.63%
REAL ESTATE · Cap: $9.13B
SPG
Simon Property Group Inc
$210.31
+1.98%
REAL ESTATE · Cap: $81.95B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Simon Property Group Inc generates 786% more annual revenue ($6.65B vs $750.04M). SPG leads profitability with a 70.6% profit margin vs 29.2%. ADC appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.13. ADC earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 68/100 (B-).
ADC
Strong Buy68
out of 100
Grade: B-
SPG
Buy63
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+79.7%
Fair Value
$378.77
Current Price
$73.41
$305.36 discount
Margin of Safety
-27.7%
Fair Value
$152.48
Current Price
$210.31
$57.83 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 48.7%
Keeps 29 of every $100 in revenue as profit
18.7% revenue growth
Every $100 of equity generates 96 in profit
Keeps 71 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Strong operational efficiency at 43.4%
Large-cap with strong market position
Attractively priced relative to earnings
19.3% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
ROE of 3.5% — below average capital efficiency
Weak financial health signals
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Trading at 14.2x book value
Expensive relative to growth rate
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : ADC
The strongest argument for ADC centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 29.2% and operating margin at 48.7%. Revenue growth of 18.7% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : SPG
The strongest argument for SPG centers on Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 70.6% and operating margin at 43.4%. Revenue growth of 19.3% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : ADC
The primary concerns for ADC are Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 41.0x leaves little room for execution misses.
Bear Case : SPG
The primary concerns for SPG are Price/Book, PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 5.96 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
SPG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.35 — expect wider price swings.
SPG is growing revenue faster at 19.3% — sustainability is the question.
SPG generates stronger free cash flow (625M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor REIT - RETAIL industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
ADC scores higher overall (68/100 vs 63/100), backed by strong 29.2% margins and 18.7% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Agree Realty Corporation
REAL ESTATE · REIT - RETAIL · USA
Agree Realty Corporation is a publicly traded real estate investment trust primarily engaged in the acquisition and development of net leased properties to industry leading retail tenants.
Simon Property Group Inc
REAL ESTATE · REIT - RETAIL · USA
Simon Property Group, Inc. is a real estate investment trust that invests in shopping malls, outlet centers, and community/lifestyle centers. It is the largest owner of shopping malls in the United States and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.
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