WallStSmart

Agree Realty Corporation (ADC)vsSimon Property Group Inc (SPG)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Simon Property Group Inc generates 753% more annual revenue ($6.65B vs $779.62M). SPG leads profitability with a 70.6% profit margin vs 28.8%. ADC appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.13. ADC earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 64/100 (C+).

ADC

Buy

64

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.7Profit: 7.0Value: 8.0Quality: 4.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 1.16

SPG

Buy

63

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 9.0Value: 4.0Quality: 3.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.36
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ADCUndervalued (+80.3%)

Margin of Safety

+80.3%

Fair Value

$388.86

Current Price

$76.08

$312.78 discount

UndervaluedFair: $388.86Overvalued
SPGSignificantly Overvalued (-26.8%)

Margin of Safety

-26.8%

Fair Value

$153.57

Current Price

$224.81

$71.24 premium

UndervaluedFair: $153.57Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ADC5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.1310/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Operating MarginProfitability
48.1%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 48.1%

Profit MarginProfitability
28.8%9/10

Keeps 29 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Price/BookValuation
1.5x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
16.8%8/10

16.8% revenue growth

SPG6 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
Return on EquityProfitability
96.3%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 96 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
70.6%10/10

Keeps 71 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
43.4%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 43.4%

Market CapQuality
$85.96B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

P/E RatioValuation
15.8x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Revenue GrowthGrowth
19.3%8/10

19.3% revenue growth

Areas to Watch

ADC4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
2.1%4/10

2.1% earnings growth

Return on EquityProfitability
3.5%3/10

ROE of 3.5% — below average capital efficiency

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
41.8x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

SPG4 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Price/BookValuation
15.1x4/10

Trading at 15.1x book value

PEG RatioValuation
8.742/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.362/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
5.961/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ADC

The strongest argument for ADC centers on PEG Ratio, Operating Margin, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 28.8% and operating margin at 48.1%. Revenue growth of 16.8% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : SPG

The strongest argument for SPG centers on Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 70.6% and operating margin at 43.4%. Revenue growth of 19.3% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : ADC

The primary concerns for ADC are EPS Growth, Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 41.8x leaves little room for execution misses.

Bear Case : SPG

The primary concerns for SPG are Price/Book, PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 5.96 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

SPG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.33 — expect wider price swings.

SPG is growing revenue faster at 19.3% — sustainability is the question.

SPG generates stronger free cash flow (625M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor REIT - RETAIL industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

ADC scores higher overall (64/100 vs 63/100), backed by strong 28.8% margins and 16.8% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Agree Realty Corporation

REAL ESTATE · REIT - RETAIL · USA

Agree Realty Corporation is a publicly traded real estate investment trust primarily engaged in the acquisition and development of net leased properties to industry leading retail tenants.

Simon Property Group Inc

REAL ESTATE · REIT - RETAIL · USA

Simon Property Group, Inc. is a real estate investment trust that invests in shopping malls, outlet centers, and community/lifestyle centers. It is the largest owner of shopping malls in the United States and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.

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