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UBS

UBS Group AG

NYSE: UBS · FINANCIAL SERVICES · BANKS - DIVERSIFIED

$43.90
+2.76% today

Updated 2026-04-30

Market cap
$128.03B
P/E ratio
17.55
P/S ratio
2.58x
EPS (TTM)
$2.36
Dividend yield
2.68%
52W range
$29 – $48
Volume
2.8M
OverviewPrice TargetsFinancialsValuationInsidersEarnings

UBS Group AG (UBS) Financial Forecast & Price Target 2030

Research-backed projections from analyst consensus, management guidance, and sector analysis.

Price target summary

Current
$43.90
Consensus
$60.30
+37.36%
2030 Target
$240.52
+447.88%
DCF
—
—
2 analysts:
2 Buy2 Hold0 Sell

Management guidance

CEO Sergio Ermotti has stated commitment to staying in role until at least April 2027, indicating continuity in strategic execution. No specific revenue targets for 2026-2030 disclosed in available guidance. Management focus centers on Credit Suisse integration completion, U.S. wealth expansion via new OCC national bank charter (rollout by end 2027), and capital optimization amid Swiss regulatory discussions.

Sources: Management guidance, analyst consensus, sector analysishigh confidence

Revenue & price projection

Actual revenue Projected revenue Base case Bull to bear range
Bull case (2030)
$402.19
$63.5B Rev × 20x P/S
Base case (2030)
$240.52
$63.5B Rev × 12x P/S
Bear case (2030)
$161.66
$63.5B Rev × 8x P/S

Financial forecast — research-backed

Metric2023202420252026 (E)2027 (E)2028 (E)2029 (E)2030 (E)
Revenue$57.4B$74.2B$59.1B$53.0B$54.9B$57.2B$60.1B$63.5B
Revenue growth—29.3%-20.4%6.9%3.5%4.3%5.1%5.7%
EPS$-0.45$1.78$3.01$3.37$4.16$4.75$5.35$6.05
P/S ratio———12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x
Implied price———$201.09$208.98$216.87$228.69$240.52

Catalysts & risks

Growth catalysts
+ OCC national bank charter approval - enables full U.S. banking services rollout by end 2027, expanding wealth management TAM to mass-affluent segment
+ Swiss capital requirements compromise - lawmakers signaling moderation on $22B capital demand, reducing regulatory drag on profitability
+ Credit Suisse integration completion - integration nears completion with invested assets growing 15% to $7T in 2025, revenue synergy realization accelerating
+ Investment banking recovery - Morgan Stanley expects solid Q1 2026 IB results; deal flow historically correlates to UBS revenue growth
+ Wealth management expansion - targeting broader affluent client base beyond ultra-high-net-worth, significant TAM expansion opportunity
Key risks
- Swiss regulatory capital requirements - if lawmakers impose full $22B additional capital requirement, could constrain dividend/buybacks and ROE
- Geopolitical headwinds - Iran tensions, energy price volatility impacting trading volumes and client risk appetite
- Credit Suisse legacy issues - ongoing FX derivatives compensation claims affecting brand and regulatory relationship
- Macro slowdown - recent guidance shows revenue growth decelerating from 21.2% (2024) to 3.3% (2025), indicating market maturation
- Integration execution risk - Credit Suisse absorption is complex; cost synergies dependent on successful systems consolidation

Methodology

UBS Group AG's forward estimates are derived from AI-powered research synthesis combining analyst consensus from 2 Wall Street analysts, management guidance from the latest earnings call, and sector growth forecasts from industry research. Revenue and EPS projections use analyst consensus where available and conservative extrapolation with growth deceleration for outer years. Price targets are calculated using a tiered Price-to-Sales (P/S) methodology, where the P/S multiple is determined by the projected revenue growth rate.

WallStSmart proprietary research model · Not financial advice · Past performance is not indicative of future results · Last researched: April 6, 2026.