WallStSmart
RGR

Sturm Ruger & Company Inc

NYSE: RGR · INDUSTRIALS · AEROSPACE & DEFENSE

$37.72
+0.35% today

Updated 2026-09-11

Market cap
$615.00M
P/E ratio
52.01
P/S ratio
1.07x
EPS (TTM)
$0.74
Dividend yield
1.18%
52W range
$28 – $48
Volume
0.1M

Sturm Ruger & Company Inc (RGR) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for RGR.

WallStSmart Verdict
Overvalued

Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.

Smart Value Score: 38 / 100
P/E (TTM)
52.0x
vs 5Y median of 16.5x
PEG
Margin of Safety
+10.65%
Fair value $41.59 vs $37.72
EV / EBITDA
13.5x

RGR historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in RGR's own 5Y range.

NOW
7.8x
5Y Low
9.5x
25th
16.5x
Median
22.1x
75th
115.3x
5Y High
RGR is trading more expensive than 94% of the last 5Y.
94th percentile · Historically expensive

RGR intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$37.72
Market value
Intrinsic value
$41.59
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
+10.65%
+10.3% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

RGR valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

P/E near 5Y high
Current P/E sits in the 94th percentile of its 5Y range. Historically expensive relative to its own history.
!
Near fair value
+10.65% margin of safety. Price is close to DCF estimate.
Weak financial quality
Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 suggests deteriorating fundamentals. Valuation requires closer scrutiny.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 52.01x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 1.06x

Is RGR overvalued in 2026?

Sturm Ruger & Company Inc (RGR) currently trades at $37.72 per share with a market capitalization of $615,003,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 38/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 52.0x, above its 5-year median of 16.5x.

Looking at its own history, RGR is currently trading more expensive than 94% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 94th percentile of its historical range, a zone where forward returns have typically been muted.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates RGR's intrinsic value at $41.59 per share, against the current market price of $37.72. This implies a margin of safety of +10.65%. The stock is priced close to its estimated fair value, offering limited upside without further operational improvement.

Financial quality is a concern. The Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weakening fundamentals that deserve closer scrutiny before the valuation case can be fully trusted.

Bottom line: RGR appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 38/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.

Frequently asked questions

Is RGR overvalued?

RGR scores 38/100 on our Smart Value Score (Grade D), a weak overall profile. The DCF also shows a positive margin of safety, so price and fundamentals line up reasonably well.

What is RGR's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates RGR's intrinsic value at $41.59 per share, versus the current price of $37.72, a margin of safety of +10.65%. Fair value is the present value of the cash flows we project the business to produce, so a price below it means the market is pricing the stock below that conservative estimate.

What P/E ratio does RGR trade at?

RGR trades at a P/E of 52.0x on trailing twelve-month earnings, against a 5-year median of 16.5x. P/E is what you pay per dollar of profit, and sitting above its own median means the stock is pricier than usual relative to its earnings.

Is RGR a buy based on valuation?

Our Smart Value rating for RGR is Sell, from a Smart Value Score of 38/100 that blends growth, quality, and valuation. The profile skews cautious, and a better price or clearer operating improvement would strengthen the case. This is research to inform your decision, not personalized financial advice.

How does RGR's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, RGR sits in the 94th percentile of its own 5Y range, historically expensive relative to where it has traded. A high percentile means today's multiple is near the top of its historical band.

What is RGR's Smart Value Score?

RGR's Smart Value Score is 38/100. It is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation into a single 0-100 read, and scores above 75 are rare, signaling strong multi-factor alignment.