Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
NASDAQ: PGY · TECHNOLOGY · SOFTWARE - INFRASTRUCTURE
Updated 2026-04-29
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) Stock Valuation Analysis
Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for PGY.
Valued
Valuation reasonably reflects current fundamentals. Limited margin of safety at these levels.
PGY historical valuation range
Where current P/E sits in PGY's own 5Y range.
PGY intrinsic value (DCF)
DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.
Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.
PGY valuation signals
Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.
P/E Ratio — History
Current: 13.89x
P/S Ratio — History
Current: 0.82x
Is PGY overvalued in 2026?
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) currently trades at $12.92 per share with a market capitalization of $1,065,829,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock trades at a fair valuation with a Smart Value Score of 65/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.
The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 13.9x, below its 5-year median of 14.6x. The PEG ratio of 0.04 suggests earnings growth is outpacing the multiple, a classic sign of undervaluation.
Looking at its own history, PGY is currently trading cheaper than 57% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 43th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.
Our discounted cash flow model estimates PGY's intrinsic value at $55.51 per share, against the current market price of $12.92. This implies a margin of safety of +76.81%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.
The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.
Bottom line: PGY trades at a fair valuation on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 65/100. The valuation is defensible but offers no obvious bargain. Patience or a better entry price may reward disciplined buyers.
Frequently asked questions
Is PGY overvalued in 2026?
Based on a Smart Value Score of 65/100, PGY is fairly valued. Price reasonably reflects current fundamentals with limited cushion in either direction.
What is PGY's fair value?
Our DCF model estimates PGY's intrinsic value at $55.51 per share, versus the current price of $12.92. This produces a margin of safety of +76.81%.
What P/E ratio does PGY trade at?
PGY trades at a P/E of 13.9x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 14.6x.
Is PGY a buy based on valuation?
WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 65/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile is balanced. Best suited for investors with an existing thesis.
How does PGY's valuation compare to its history?
On P/E, PGY currently sits in the 43th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is below its long-run median relative to where it has traded over the period.
What is PGY's Smart Value Score?
PGY's Smart Value Score is 65/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.