WallStSmart
NCNO

nCino Inc

NASDAQ: NCNO · TECHNOLOGY · SOFTWARE - APPLICATION

$22.68
+1.02% today

Updated 2026-10-30

Market cap
$2.37B
P/E ratio
70.16
P/S ratio
3.82x
EPS (TTM)
$0.32
Dividend yield
—
52W range
$14 – $28
Volume
2.3M

nCino Inc (NCNO) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for NCNO.

WallStSmart Verdict
Overvalued

Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.

Smart Value Score: 49 / 100
P/E (TTM)
70.2x
vs 5Y median of 122.5x
PEG
—
—
Margin of Safety
+68.67%
Fair value $56.14 vs $22.68
EV / EBITDA
0.0x

NCNO historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in NCNO's own 5Y range.

NOW
60.3x
5Y Low
68.6x
25th
122.5x
Median
149.4x
75th
173.4x
5Y High
NCNO is trading cheaper than 62% of the last 5Y.
38th percentile · Below median

NCNO intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$22.68
Market value
Intrinsic value
$56.14
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
+68.67%
+147.5% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

NCNO valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

!
P/E in mid-range
P/E sits at the 38th percentile of the 5Y range. Neither cheap nor rich historically.
✓
Strong margin of safety
Current price 68.7% below DCF intrinsic value estimate. Meaningful downside cushion.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 70.16x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 3.81x

Is NCNO overvalued in 2026?

nCino Inc (NCNO) currently trades at $22.68 per share with a market capitalization of $2,373,777,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 49/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 70.2x, below its 5-year median of 122.5x.

Looking at its own history, NCNO is currently trading cheaper than 62% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 38th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates NCNO's intrinsic value at $56.14 per share, against the current market price of $22.68. This implies a margin of safety of +68.67%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.

The Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.

Bottom line: NCNO appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 49/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.

Frequently asked questions

Is NCNO overvalued?

NCNO scores 49/100 on our Smart Value Score (Grade C), a weak overall profile. The DCF also shows a positive margin of safety, so price and fundamentals line up reasonably well.

What is NCNO's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates NCNO's intrinsic value at $56.14 per share, versus the current price of $22.68, a margin of safety of +68.67%. Fair value is the present value of the cash flows we project the business to produce, so a price below it means the market is pricing the stock below that conservative estimate.

What P/E ratio does NCNO trade at?

NCNO trades at a P/E of 70.2x on trailing twelve-month earnings, against a 5-year median of 122.5x. P/E is what you pay per dollar of profit, and sitting below its own median means the stock is cheaper than usual relative to its earnings.

Is NCNO a buy based on valuation?

Our Smart Value rating for NCNO is Sell, from a Smart Value Score of 49/100 that blends growth, quality, and valuation. The profile skews cautious, and a better price or clearer operating improvement would strengthen the case. This is research to inform your decision, not personalized financial advice.

How does NCNO's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, NCNO sits in the 38th percentile of its own 5Y range, below its long-run median relative to where it has traded. A low percentile means today's multiple is near the bottom of its historical band.

What is NCNO's Smart Value Score?

NCNO's Smart Value Score is 49/100. It is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation into a single 0-100 read, and scores above 75 are rare, signaling strong multi-factor alignment.