WallStSmart
BURL

Burlington Stores Inc

NYSE: BURL · CONSUMER CYCLICAL · APPAREL RETAIL

$316.53
-1.50% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$19.89B
P/E ratio
33.28
P/S ratio
1.72x
EPS (TTM)
$9.51
Dividend yield
52W range
$219 – $352
Volume
0.8M

Burlington Stores Inc (BURL) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for BURL.

WallStSmart Verdict
Fairly
Valued

Valuation reasonably reflects current fundamentals. Limited margin of safety at these levels.

Smart Value Score: 63 / 100
P/E (TTM)
33.3x
vs 5Y median of 36.0x
PEG
2.99
Elevated vs growth
Margin of Safety
-13.45%
Fair value $269.61 vs $316.53
EV / EBITDA
19.1x

BURL historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in BURL's own 5Y range.

NOW
25.6x
5Y Low
33.3x
25th
36.0x
Median
43.8x
75th
64.5x
5Y High
BURL is trading cheaper than 68% of the last 5Y.
32th percentile · Below median

BURL intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$316.53
Market value
Intrinsic value
$269.61
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
-13.45%
-14.8% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

BURL valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

PEG above 2.0
PEG of 2.99 suggests price is running ahead of growth rate. Caution warranted.
!
P/E in mid-range
P/E sits at the 32th percentile of the 5Y range. Neither cheap nor rich historically.
Premium to fair value
Price exceeds DCF intrinsic value by 13.4%. Limited downside protection.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 33.28x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 1.72x

Is BURL overvalued in 2026?

Burlington Stores Inc (BURL) currently trades at $316.53 per share with a market capitalization of $19,887,665,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock trades at a fair valuation with a Smart Value Score of 63/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 33.3x, below its 5-year median of 36.0x. The PEG ratio of 2.99 indicates the price has run ahead of the underlying growth rate.

Looking at its own history, BURL is currently trading cheaper than 68% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 32th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates BURL's intrinsic value at $269.61 per share, against the current market price of $316.53. This implies a premium to fair value of -13.45%. The current price sits well above what projected cash flows justify, implying investors are paying for growth that has not yet materialized.

The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.

Bottom line: BURL trades at a fair valuation on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 63/100. The valuation is defensible but offers no obvious bargain. Patience or a better entry price may reward disciplined buyers.

Frequently asked questions

Is BURL overvalued in 2026?

Based on a Smart Value Score of 63/100, BURL is fairly valued. Price reasonably reflects current fundamentals with limited cushion in either direction.

What is BURL's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates BURL's intrinsic value at $269.61 per share, versus the current price of $316.53. This produces a margin of safety of -13.45%.

What P/E ratio does BURL trade at?

BURL trades at a P/E of 33.3x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 36.0x.

Is BURL a buy based on valuation?

WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 63/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile is balanced. Best suited for investors with an existing thesis.

How does BURL's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, BURL currently sits in the 32th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is below its long-run median relative to where it has traded over the period.

What is BURL's Smart Value Score?

BURL's Smart Value Score is 63/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.