What is BURL stock price target for 2026?

WallStSmart's 12-month price target for Burlington Stores Inc is $286.48, representing 9.5% downside from the current price of $316.53.

What is BURL stock forecast?

Burlington Stores Inc forecast includes bull, base, and bear case scenarios from 2026 through 2030. Revenue and EPS projections are derived from analyst consensus and conservative extrapolation with growth deceleration for outer years.

Is BURL undervalued based on price targets?

Our DCF intrinsic value for Burlington Stores Inc is $269.61, against a current price of $316.53. The margin of safety is -13.45%.

BURL

Burlington Stores Inc

NYSE: BURL · CONSUMER CYCLICAL · APPAREL RETAIL

$316.53

-1.50% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap

$19.89B

P/E ratio

33.28

P/S ratio

1.72x

EPS (TTM)

$9.51

Dividend yield

—

52W range

$219 – $352

Volume

0.8M

Market cap

$19.89B

P/E ratio

33.28

P/S ratio

1.72x

EPS (TTM)

$9.51

Dividend yield

—

52W range

$219 – $352

Volume

0.8M

Burlington Stores Inc (BURL) Financial Forecast & Price Target 2030

Research-backed projections from analyst consensus, management guidance, and sector analysis.

Price target summary

Current

$316.53

Consensus

$355.29

+12.25%

2030 Target

$3,582.48

+1031.80%

DCF

$269.61

-13.45% MoS

Current price

$316.53

Analyst consensus

$355.29

+12.25%

2030 Target

$3,582.48

+1031.80%

Intrinsic (DCF)

$269.61

-13.45% MoS

16 analysts:

7 Buy2 Hold0 Sell

Management guidance

Burlington Stores management has not provided explicit multi-year revenue guidance in the available data. However, CEO Michael O'Sullivan's March 2026 commentary emphasizes 'rapid growth' and 'aggressive sales potential' tied to accelerated store expansion (110 new stores planned for 2026 including flagship Manhattan location), suggesting mid-to-high single-digit organic growth supported by unit expansion.

Sources: Management guidance, analyst consensus, sector analysishigh confidence

Revenue & price projection

Actual revenue Projected revenue Base case Bull to bear range

Bull case (2030)

$5,982.07

$18.2B Rev × 20x P/S

Base case (2030)

$3,582.48

$18.2B Rev × 12x P/S

Bear case (2030)

$2,399.59

$18.2B Rev × 8x P/S

Financial forecast — research-backed

Metric	2024	2025	2026	2027 (E)	2028 (E)	2029 (E)	2030 (E)
Revenue	$9.7B	$10.6B	$11.6B	$14.2B	$15.6B	$16.9B	$18.2B
Revenue growth	—	9.3%	8.9%	9.4%	9.8%	8.6%	7.8%
EPS	$6.08	$4.47	$9.36	$13.76	$15.80	$17.42	$18.95
P/S ratio	—	—	—	12.0x	12.0x	12.0x	12.0x
Implied price	—	—	—	$2,771.35	$3,075.53	$3,312.11	$3,582.48

Catalysts & risks

Growth catalysts

+ 110 new store openings in 2026 including flagship Manhattan location expanding top-line revenue

+ Off-price retail resilience and consumer shift to value amid potential economic slowdown supporting comp sales

+ Tariff mitigation strategy and supply chain optimization improving margin expansion potential

Key risks

- P/E ratio of 34.6x significantly above industry average indicates valuation compression risk if growth decelerates

- Consumer spending pullback or recession would disproportionately impact discretionary apparel retail

- High leverage (Debt/Eq 3.32x) limits financial flexibility in downturns

Methodology

Burlington Stores Inc's forward estimates are derived from AI-powered research synthesis combining analyst consensus from 16 Wall Street analysts, management guidance from the latest earnings call, and sector growth forecasts from industry research. Revenue and EPS projections use analyst consensus where available and conservative extrapolation with growth deceleration for outer years. Price targets are calculated using a tiered Price-to-Sales (P/S) methodology, where the P/S multiple is determined by the projected revenue growth rate.

WallStSmart proprietary research model · Not financial advice · Past performance is not indicative of future results · Last researched: April 7, 2026.