WallStSmart
AZO

AutoZone Inc

NYSE: AZO · CONSUMER CYCLICAL · AUTO PARTS

$3,523.56
-1.11% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$59.28B
P/E ratio
25.06
P/S ratio
3.02x
EPS (TTM)
$142.76
Dividend yield
52W range
$3,211 – $4,388
Volume
0.2M

AutoZone Inc (AZO) Financial Forecast & Price Target 2030

Research-backed projections from analyst consensus, management guidance, and sector analysis.

Price target summary

Current
$3,523.56
Consensus
$4,306.00
+22.21%
2030 Target
$19,383.08
+450.10%
DCF
$2,169.67
-72.19% MoS
22 analysts:
9 Buy2 Hold1 Sell

Management guidance

No specific CEO revenue targets found in provided data. Management has guided to continued store expansion (64 new stores in Q2 FY2026) and Mexico growth initiatives, but no explicit revenue guidance for 2026-2030 was disclosed in earnings calls or investor communications reviewed.

Sources: Management guidance, analyst consensus, sector analysishigh confidence

Revenue & price projection

Actual revenue Projected revenue Base case Bull to bear range
Bull case (2030)
$32,305.13
$26.7B Rev × 20x P/S
Base case (2030)
$19,383.08
$26.7B Rev × 12x P/S
Bear case (2030)
$12,922.05
$26.7B Rev × 8x P/S

Financial forecast — research-backed

Metric2023202420252026 (E)2027 (E)2028 (E)2029 (E)2030 (E)
Revenue$17.5B$18.5B$18.9B$20.7B$22.3B$23.9B$25.3B$26.7B
Revenue growth5.9%2.4%9.4%7.7%6.8%6.2%5.5%
EPS$132.67$146.24$31.04$149.53$176.49$195.00$211.00$224.00
P/S ratio12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x
Implied price$14,962.38$16,322.59$17,342.75$18,362.92$19,383.08

Catalysts & risks

Growth catalysts
+ Mexico market expansion and store count growth (64 new stores opened in Q2 FY2026)
+ E-commerce enhancement and omnichannel initiatives
+ Aging vehicle fleet driving demand for aftermarket parts (structural tailwind)
+ Share buyback program continuation reducing share count
+ Potential margin recovery if supply chain/production cost pressures ease
Key risks
- Recent margin compression from inflationary pressures and production cost headwinds (Q2 FY2026 showed weakness)
- Winter weather impact on sales (Q2 FY2026 sales growth disappointed at 8.2% vs. expectations)
- Rising interest rates impacting consumer discretionary spending and auto repair demand
- EV adoption reducing demand for traditional aftermarket parts over long term
- Insider selling pressure ($34M+ in insider sales within 90 days as of April 2026)

Methodology

AutoZone Inc's forward estimates are derived from AI-powered research synthesis combining analyst consensus from 22 Wall Street analysts, management guidance from the latest earnings call, and sector growth forecasts from industry research. Revenue and EPS projections use analyst consensus where available and conservative extrapolation with growth deceleration for outer years. Price targets are calculated using a tiered Price-to-Sales (P/S) methodology, where the P/S multiple is determined by the projected revenue growth rate.

WallStSmart proprietary research model · Not financial advice · Past performance is not indicative of future results · Last researched: April 7, 2026.