WallStSmart

AvalonBay Communities Inc (AVB) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

AvalonBay Communities Inc stock (AVB) is currently trading at $161.37. AvalonBay Communities Inc PE ratio is 22.32. AvalonBay Communities Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 7.51. Analyst consensus price target for AVB is $195.30. WallStSmart rates AVB as Hold.

  • AVB PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • AVB PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • AVB intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • AVB stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • AVB fair value vs current price
  • AVB insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is AVB undervalued or overvalued?
  • AvalonBay Communities Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • AVB Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • AVB analyst price target and Smart Rating
AVB

AvalonBay Communities Inc

NYSEREAL ESTATE
$161.37
$3.87 (-2.34%)
52W$160.72
$210.66
Target$195.30+21.0%

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IV

AVB Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · AvalonBay Communities Inc (AVB)

Margin of Safety
-265.8%
Significantly Overvalued
AVB Fair Value
$49.16
Graham Formula
Current Price
$161.37
$112.21 above fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $49.16
Overvalued
Price $161.37
Graham IV $49.16
Analyst $195.30

AVB trades 266% above its Graham fair value of $49.16, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

AvalonBay Communities Inc (AVB) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

56
out of 100
Grade: C
Buy
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in market cap, operating margin, price/book. Concerns around peg ratio and return on equity. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.

AvalonBay Communities Inc (AVB) Key Strengths (5)

Avg Score: 9.4/10
Operating MarginProfitability
30.60%10/10

Keeps $31 of every $100 in revenue after operating costs

Profit MarginProfitability
34.60%10/10

Keeps $35 of every $100 in revenue as net profit

Institutional Own.Quality
100.52%10/10

100.52% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Market CapQuality
$22.85B9/10

Large-cap company with substantial market presence

Price/BookValuation
1.958/10

Trading at 1.95x book value, attractively priced

AvalonBay Communities Inc (AVB) Areas to Watch (5)

Avg Score: 2.2/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
-40.90%0/10

Earnings declining -40.90%, profits shrinking

PEG RatioValuation
6.492/10

Very expensive relative to growth, significant premium

Revenue GrowthGrowth
3.70%2/10

Revenue growing slowly at 3.70% annually

Return on EquityProfitability
8.89%3/10

Low profitability relative to shareholder equity

Price/SalesValuation
7.514/10

Premium valuation at 7.5x annual revenue

Supporting Valuation Data

Forward P/E
35.71
Expensive
Price/Sales (TTM)
7.51
Premium
EV/Revenue
10.49
Premium

AvalonBay Communities Inc (AVB) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 56/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 5 register as strengths (avg 9.4/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 2.2/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Operating Margin, Profit Margin, Institutional Own.. Valuation metrics including Price/Book (1.95) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Operating Margin at 30.60%, Profit Margin at 34.60%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are EPS Growth, PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (6.49), Price/Sales (7.51) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 3.70%, EPS Growth at -40.90%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 8.89%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 8.89% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 3.70% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. Strengths and concerns are roughly balanced. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Operating Margin, Profit Margin) and negatives (EPS Growth, PEG Ratio). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for AvalonBay Communities Inc (AVB) · REAL ESTATEREIT - RESIDENTIAL

The Big Picture

AvalonBay Communities Inc is a strong growth company balancing expansion with improving profitability. Revenue reached 3.0B with 370% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 34.6%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.

Key Findings

Strong Revenue Growth

Revenue growing at 370% YoY, reaching 3.0B. This pace significantly outperforms most REIT - RESIDENTIAL peers.

Excellent Capital Efficiency

ROE of 889.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.

Misleading Earnings Decline

Earnings fell 41% YoY while revenue grew 370%. This gap usually reflects one-time items (tax benefits, write-offs) in the prior period, not an operational decline.

What to Watch Next

Growth sustainability: can AvalonBay Communities Inc maintain 370%+ revenue growth, or will competition slow it down?

Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 4.2%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.

Sector dynamics: monitor REIT - RESIDENTIAL industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact AvalonBay Communities Inc.

Bottom Line

AvalonBay Communities Inc offers an attractive blend of growth (370% revenue expansion) and improving fundamentals. The company is transitioning from pure growth to profitable growth, a critical inflection point. Watch for sustained margin expansion as the key signal.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions(30 last 3 months)

Total Buys
22
Total Sells
8

Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings

Last updated: 3:23:53 AM

About AvalonBay Communities Inc(AVB)

Exchange

NYSE

Sector

REAL ESTATE

Industry

REIT - RESIDENTIAL

Country

USA

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust that invests in apartments.