WallStSmart
ADP

Automatic Data Processing Inc

NASDAQ: ADP · TECHNOLOGY · SOFTWARE - APPLICATION

$211.94
-1.45% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$79.13B
P/E ratio
18.86
P/S ratio
3.73x
EPS (TTM)
$10.42
Dividend yield
3.18%
52W range
$188 – $322
Volume
3.7M

Automatic Data Processing Inc (ADP) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for ADP.

WallStSmart Verdict
Fairly
Valued

Valuation reasonably reflects current fundamentals. Limited margin of safety at these levels.

Smart Value Score: 66 / 100
P/E (TTM)
18.9x
vs 5Y median of 28.6x
PEG
2.52
Elevated vs growth
Margin of Safety
-13.19%
Fair value $190.00 vs $211.94
EV / EBITDA
12.4x

ADP historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in ADP's own 5Y range.

NOW
18.1x
5Y Low
24.7x
25th
28.6x
Median
31.3x
75th
38.2x
5Y High
ADP is trading cheaper than 88% of the last 5Y.
12th percentile · Historically cheap

ADP intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$211.94
Market value
Intrinsic value
$190.00
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
-13.19%
-10.4% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

ADP valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

PEG above 2.0
PEG of 2.52 suggests price is running ahead of growth rate. Caution warranted.
P/E near 5Y low
Current P/E sits in the 12th percentile of its 5Y range. Historically cheap relative to its own history.
Premium to fair value
Price exceeds DCF intrinsic value by 13.2%. Limited downside protection.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 18.86x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 3.73x

Is ADP overvalued in 2026?

Automatic Data Processing Inc (ADP) currently trades at $211.94 per share with a market capitalization of $79,131,697,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock trades at a fair valuation with a Smart Value Score of 66/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 18.9x, below its 5-year median of 28.6x. The PEG ratio of 2.52 indicates the price has run ahead of the underlying growth rate.

Looking at its own history, ADP is currently trading cheaper than 88% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 12th percentile of its historical range, a level that has historically coincided with attractive entry points.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates ADP's intrinsic value at $190.00 per share, against the current market price of $211.94. This implies a premium to fair value of -13.19%. The current price sits well above what projected cash flows justify, implying investors are paying for growth that has not yet materialized.

The Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.

Bottom line: ADP trades at a fair valuation on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 66/100. The valuation is defensible but offers no obvious bargain. Patience or a better entry price may reward disciplined buyers.

Frequently asked questions

Is ADP overvalued in 2026?

Based on a Smart Value Score of 66/100, ADP is fairly valued. Price reasonably reflects current fundamentals with limited cushion in either direction.

What is ADP's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates ADP's intrinsic value at $190.00 per share, versus the current price of $211.94. This produces a margin of safety of -13.19%.

What P/E ratio does ADP trade at?

ADP trades at a P/E of 18.9x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 28.6x.

Is ADP a buy based on valuation?

WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 66/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile is balanced. Best suited for investors with an existing thesis.

How does ADP's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, ADP currently sits in the 12th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is historically cheap relative to where it has traded over the period.

What is ADP's Smart Value Score?

ADP's Smart Value Score is 66/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.