WallStSmart
ACA

Arcosa Inc

NYSE: ACA · INDUSTRIALS · ENGINEERING & CONSTRUCTION

$116.45
-1.23% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$5.72B
P/E ratio
27.46
P/S ratio
1.98x
EPS (TTM)
$4.24
Dividend yield
0.17%
52W range
$81 – $131
Volume
0.3M

Arcosa Inc (ACA) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for ACA.

WallStSmart Verdict
Fairly
Valued

Valuation reasonably reflects current fundamentals. Limited margin of safety at these levels.

Smart Value Score: 59 / 100
P/E (TTM)
27.5x
vs 5Y median of 27.7x
PEG
1.55
Fair range
Margin of Safety
-20.23%
Fair value $106.33 vs $116.45
EV / EBITDA
0.0x

ACA historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in ACA's own 5Y range.

NOW
10.8x
5Y Low
25.4x
25th
27.7x
Median
36.0x
75th
50.6x
5Y High
ACA is trading cheaper than 52% of the last 5Y.
48th percentile · Below median

ACA intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$116.45
Market value
Intrinsic value
$106.33
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
-20.23%
-8.7% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

ACA valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

!
PEG in fair range
PEG of 1.55 suggests price reflects growth fairly. Neither a bargain nor overpriced.
!
P/E in mid-range
P/E sits at the 48th percentile of the 5Y range. Neither cheap nor rich historically.
Premium to fair value
Price exceeds DCF intrinsic value by 20.2%. Limited downside protection.
Weak financial quality
Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 suggests deteriorating fundamentals. Valuation requires closer scrutiny.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 27.46x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 1.98x

Is ACA overvalued in 2026?

Arcosa Inc (ACA) currently trades at $116.45 per share with a market capitalization of $5,717,530,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock trades at a fair valuation with a Smart Value Score of 59/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 27.5x, below its 5-year median of 27.7x. The PEG ratio of 1.55 points to a price that reasonably reflects expected earnings growth.

Looking at its own history, ACA is currently trading cheaper than 52% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 48th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates ACA's intrinsic value at $106.33 per share, against the current market price of $116.45. This implies a premium to fair value of -20.23%. The current price sits well above what projected cash flows justify, implying investors are paying for growth that has not yet materialized.

Financial quality is a concern. The Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weakening fundamentals that deserve closer scrutiny before the valuation case can be fully trusted.

Bottom line: ACA trades at a fair valuation on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 59/100. The valuation is defensible but offers no obvious bargain. Patience or a better entry price may reward disciplined buyers.

Frequently asked questions

Is ACA overvalued in 2026?

Based on a Smart Value Score of 59/100, ACA is fairly valued. Price reasonably reflects current fundamentals with limited cushion in either direction.

What is ACA's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates ACA's intrinsic value at $106.33 per share, versus the current price of $116.45. This produces a margin of safety of -20.23%.

What P/E ratio does ACA trade at?

ACA trades at a P/E of 27.5x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 27.7x.

Is ACA a buy based on valuation?

WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 59/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile is balanced. Best suited for investors with an existing thesis.

How does ACA's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, ACA currently sits in the 48th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is below its long-run median relative to where it has traded over the period.

What is ACA's Smart Value Score?

ACA's Smart Value Score is 59/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.