AAON Inc
NASDAQ: AAON · INDUSTRIALS · BUILDING PRODUCTS & EQUIPMENT
Updated 2026-04-29
AAON Inc (AAON) Stock Valuation Analysis
Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for AAON.
Valued
Valuation reasonably reflects current fundamentals. Limited margin of safety at these levels.
AAON historical valuation range
Where current P/E sits in AAON's own 5Y range.
AAON intrinsic value (DCF)
DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.
Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.
AAON valuation signals
Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.
P/E Ratio — History
Current: 67.03x
P/S Ratio — History
Current: 4.91x
Is AAON overvalued in 2026?
AAON Inc (AAON) currently trades at $86.47 per share with a market capitalization of $7,077,026,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock trades at a fair valuation with a Smart Value Score of 55/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.
The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 67.0x, above its 5-year median of 49.8x. The PEG ratio of 2.88 indicates the price has run ahead of the underlying growth rate.
Looking at its own history, AAON is currently trading more expensive than 75% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 75th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.
Our discounted cash flow model estimates AAON's intrinsic value at $108.65 per share, against the current market price of $86.47. This implies a margin of safety of +5.46%. The stock is priced close to its estimated fair value, offering limited upside without further operational improvement.
Financial quality is a concern. The Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags weakening fundamentals that deserve closer scrutiny before the valuation case can be fully trusted.
Bottom line: AAON trades at a fair valuation on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 55/100. The valuation is defensible but offers no obvious bargain. Patience or a better entry price may reward disciplined buyers.
Frequently asked questions
Is AAON overvalued in 2026?
Based on a Smart Value Score of 55/100, AAON is fairly valued. Price reasonably reflects current fundamentals with limited cushion in either direction.
What is AAON's fair value?
Our DCF model estimates AAON's intrinsic value at $108.65 per share, versus the current price of $86.47. This produces a margin of safety of +5.46%.
What P/E ratio does AAON trade at?
AAON trades at a P/E of 67.0x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 49.8x.
Is AAON a buy based on valuation?
WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 55/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile is balanced. Best suited for investors with an existing thesis.
How does AAON's valuation compare to its history?
On P/E, AAON currently sits in the 75th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is historically expensive relative to where it has traded over the period.
What is AAON's Smart Value Score?
AAON's Smart Value Score is 55/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.